Casper Ruud and Alexander Bublik will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:30 pm on PIETRANGELI. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.149
Alexander Bublik -> 5.5
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 6th time that Casper Ruud and Alexander Bublik clash against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Ruud won 6-3 6-2 in the 3rd round in Miami back in 2022.
Highlights Casper Ruud vs Alexander Bublik – Miami 27-March-2022
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-10 | 17-5 | 21-5 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Casper reached the 3rd round after defeating Arthur Rinderknech 6-4 6-0.
In the 2nd round, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Rinderknech (6-4 6-0). During the match, Ruud scored 51 points vs Rinderknech’s 29. Ruud was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud was exceptionally effective on serve to win 82% (27/33) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ruud was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Rinderknech 4 times.
Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 65% of his matches (328-179). 7-3 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has a composed197-90 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Estoril where he defeated Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-2 7-6(3).
The Norwegian has an aggregate 12-9 win-loss record in 2023, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-15 | 9-6 | 5-5 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 49, the Kazakhstani got to the 3rd round after defeating Pedro Martinez Portero 6-3 7-64 and Ben Shelton 6-4 1-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Bublik defeated Shelton (6-4 1-6 6-2). During the match Bublik scored 75 points vs Shelton’s 72. Bublik was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Bublik blasted 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 68% of his first serves in, winning 82% (36/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Shelton 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexander has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Bublik’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Marseille.
Bublik has an overall 11-17 win-loss record in 2023, 5-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2020, 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 47 |
| Pts | 51-29 | 148-140 |
| Total Points | 80 | 288 |
| Winners | 27 | 73 |
| %Winners | 53% | 49% |
Ruud played 1 match while Bublik competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Alexander Bublik dropped 1 set while Casper Ruud hasn’t lost a set so far. Ruud has played 3 set(s) less than Bublik (2 vs 5). Therefore, Ruud played 31 games less than Bublik. The Norwegian scored 27 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Bublik recorded 73 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 8 |
| 1st in | 33/45 | 91/139 |
| %1st in | 73% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 73/91 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 23/48 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 48% |
Ruud bagged 1 ace . Bublik also made 16 aces (8 per match). Ruud won 82% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/4 | 5/15 |
| % Converted | 100% | 33% |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
The Norwegian broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Ruud was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||
| R2 Rinderknech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 51-29 | 51-29 | |
| Total points | 80 | 80 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/45 | 33/45 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 27/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Bublik | ||||
| R1 Martinez Portero |
R2 Shelton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 6-4 1-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 25 | 47 | |
| pts | 73-68 | 75-72 | 148-140 | |
| Total points | 141 | 147 | 288 | |
| Winners | 37 | 36 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 48% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 5 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 3 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 47/74 | 44/65 | 91/139 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 68% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 37/47 | 36/44 | 73/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 82% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 10/21 | 23/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/10 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 30% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 1/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 33% | 113% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWWWWW
WLLWLWLWLW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Daniel EvansEvans (7-65 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Guido PellaPella (6-0 7-64) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (4-6 7-68 7-65) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Arthur FilsFils (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Yibing WuWu (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Laslo DjereDjere – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Gregoire BarrereBarrere – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-6 6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Tommy PaulPaul (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Guido PellaPella (6-0 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (4-6 7-6(8) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Daniel EvansEvans (7-6(5) 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (10-1) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gregoire BarrereBarrere – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Christian GarinGarin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Alexander BublikBublik (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
