Max Purcell and Aleksandar Vukic will square off in the final of the Busan Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Max Purcell who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Max Purcell is the pick to win this match.
Max Purcell -> 1.87
Aleksandar Vukic -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Max Purcell vs. Aleksandar Vukic
This will be the 4th time that Max Purcell and Aleksandar Vukic face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Vukic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Vukic won 6-4 2-6 6-4 in the quarter in the Bengalaru 2 Challenger back in 2022.
Max Purcell
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-24 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-28 | 45-17 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-29 | 21-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-14 | 13-9 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 87, the Australian got to the final after defeating Yuki Mochizuki 6-3 6-3, Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-2 6-4, Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-4 7-5 and Gabriel Diallo 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, Purcell had a good straight sets win against Diallo (6-4 7-5). During the match, Purcell scored 72 points vs Diallo’s 59. Max was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Purcell fired 9 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Max Purcell was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Diallo 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Max hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Purcell has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (248-167). 33-6 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Purcell has an aggregate183-116 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Chennai Challenger where he overcame Nicolas Moreno De Alboran in the final 5-7 7-6(2) 6-4 and the Bengaluru Challenger where he defeated James Duckworth in the final 3-6 7-5 7-6(5) and the Pune Challenger where he defeated Luca Nardi in the final 6-2 6-3.
Max has a compiled 38-8 win-loss record in 2023, 33-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Busan Challenger
Aleksandar Vukic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-33 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-33 | 34-20 | 9-4 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-15 | 4-5 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-26 | 8-5 | 10-11 | 11-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-12 | 10-4 | 9-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 127, Aleksandar reached the final after defeating Lloyd Harris 7-65 6-3, Sho Shimabukuro 7-61 6-4, Christopher Eubanks 6-74 7-63 6-4 and Brandon Holt 7-64 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Holt (7-64 6-1). During the match Vukic scored 67 points vs Holt’s 54. Aleksandar was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Vukic managed to score 5 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Aleksandar Vukic lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Vukic put 66% of his first serves in, winning 80% (32/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (8/21) on the 2nd serve. Aleksandar broke Holt 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Vukic’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Seoul Challenger.
Aleksandar has an overall 28-14 win-loss record in 2023, 23-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Busan Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Purcell | Vukic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 101 |
| Pts | 273-228 | 329-284 |
| Total Points | 501 | 613 |
| Winners | 115 | 145 |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% |
Both Purcell and Vukic played 4 matches. At the moment, Aleksandar Vukic surrendered 1 set while Max Purcell hasn’t lost a set so far. Purcell has played 1 set(s) less than Vukic (8 vs 9). Therefore, Purcell played 21 games less than Vukic. Max scored 115 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Aleksandar made 145 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Purcell | Vukic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 7.8 |
| 1st in | 156/240 | 187/294 |
| %1st in | 65% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 115/156 | 145/187 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 48/84 | 59/107 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 55% |
Purcell blasted 21 aces (5.3 per match). Vukic made 31 aces (7.8 per match). Purcell won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Vukic won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Purcell | Vukic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/25 | 12/26 |
| % Converted | 56% | 46% |
| Conceded | 17 | 12 |
| Saved | 13 | 6 |
| % Saved | 76% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
Max broke his opponents 14 times with a 56% conversion rate. Purcell conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Aleksandar broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Purcell | ||||||
| R1 Mochizuki |
R2 Hsiou |
1/4 Uchiyama |
1/2 Diallo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 22 | 22 | 80 | |
| pts | 64-46 | 66-56 | 71-67 | 72-59 | 273-228 | |
| Total points | 110 | 122 | 138 | 131 | 501 | |
| Winners | 26 | 32 | 27 | 30 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% | 38% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/50 | 46/69 | 41/64 | 38/57 | 156/240 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 67% | 64% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 32/46 | 27/41 | 30/38 | 115/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 70% | 66% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 13/23 | 12/23 | 12/19 | 48/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 57% | 52% | 63% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/6 | 5/11 | 3/3 | 14/25 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 45% | 100% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 9/9 | 4/7 | 0/1 | 13 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 57% | 0% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Vukic | ||||||
| R1 Lloyd |
R2 Shimabukuro |
1/4 Eubanks |
1/2 Holt |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | 7-61 6-4 | 6-74 7-63 6-4 | 7-64 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 23 | 36 | 20 | 101 | |
| pts | 75-63 | 75-63 | 112-104 | 67-54 | 329-284 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | 216 | 121 | 613 | |
| Winners | 29 | 32 | 52 | 32 | 145 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% | 46% | 48% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/62 | 42/62 | 67/109 | 40/61 | 187/294 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 68% | 61% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 32/42 | 52/67 | 32/40 | 145/187 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 78% | 80% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 12/20 | 25/42 | 8/21 | 59/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 60% | 60% | 38% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/10 | 2/3 | 4/6 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 30% | 67% | 67% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/2 | 5/6 | 1/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 83% | 33% | 29% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Max PurcellPurcell – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
