Madison Keys and Magdalena Frech will play each other in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 12. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
Madison Keys -> 1.3
Magdalena Frech -> 3.52
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Magdalena Frech
This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Magdalena Frech square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Keys won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Berlin back in 2021.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, the American will start her run in Rome after she played her last match in Charleston where she lost 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 to Kasatkina in the quarter on the 7th of April.
Madison has a composed 14-6 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2.
Talking about her overall career, The American has an overall 342-200 record. She has a positive 74-44 record on clay.
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2016. See her history.
Magdalena Frech
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-25 | 10-16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-30 | 28-15 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-32 | 23-21 | 10-5 | 0-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-38 | 22-19 | 11-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 12-5 | 16-8 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 94, the Pole reached the 2nd round after defeating Federica Urgesi 7-69 6-0, Polina Kudermetova 6-1 6-2 and Matilde Paoletti 4-6 6-2 7-5.
In the 1st round against Paoletti, The Pole recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 7-5). During the match Frech scored 104 points vs Paoletti’s 92. Magdalena was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Frech fired 3 aces and she was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Magdalena Frech lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Frech put 69% of her first serves in, winning 62% (38/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. Frech broke Paoletti 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).
Frech has an aggregate 16-14 win-loss record in 2023, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Frech has never competed in this tournament before.
Tennis Scores in Rome
- Riccardo BalzeraniBalzerani – Andres Gabriel CiurlettiGabriel Ciurletti (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto MarcoraMarcora – Wilson LeiteLeite (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico MaccariMaccari – Marco BortolottiBortolotti (7-62 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Adelchi VirgiliVirgili – Omar GiacaloneGiacalone (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tobias SimonSimon – Luca GiacominiGiacomini (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomislav BrkicBrkic – Paul WoernerWoerner (6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jacopo StefaniniStefanini – Kirill KivattsevKivattsev (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Anna-Lena FriedsamFriedsam (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilla RosatelloRosatello – Claire LiuLiu (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arantxa RusRus – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Danka KovinicKovinic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria BrancaccioBrancaccio – Julia GrabherGrabher (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tereza MartincovaMartincova – Alize CornetCornet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Bernarda PeraPera (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Barbora StrycovaStrycova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lisa PigatoPigato – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caty McNallyMcNally – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Anna BondarBondar (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Xiyu WangWang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Ana BogdanBogdan (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Sloane StephensStephens (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Madison KeysKeys (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction