Madison Keys and Magdalena Frech will play each other in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 12. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.3
Magdalena Frech -> 3.52

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Magdalena Frech

This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Magdalena Frech square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Keys won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Berlin back in 2021.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 23, the American will start her run in Rome after she played her last match in Charleston where she lost 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 to Kasatkina in the quarter on the 7th of April.

Madison has a composed 14-6 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2.

Talking about her overall career, The American has an overall 342-200 record. She has a positive 74-44 record on clay.

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2016. See her history.

Rome
Keys's Record

Magdalena Frech

Magdalena Frech

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
58
High
22
LWWLLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-25 10-16 4-5 0-0 1-4 0-0
2024 41-30 28-15 10-9 1-2 2-4 0-0
2023 39-32 23-21 10-5 0-2 6-4 0-0
2022 38-38 22-19 11-12 1-3 4-4 0-0
2021 38-19 12-5 16-8 6-3 3-2 1-1

Ranked no. 94, the Pole reached the 2nd round after defeating Federica Urgesi 7-69 6-0, Polina Kudermetova 6-1 6-2 and Matilde Paoletti 4-6 6-2 7-5.

In the 1st round against Paoletti, The Pole recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 7-5). During the match Frech scored 104 points vs Paoletti’s 92. Magdalena was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Frech fired 3 aces and she was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Magdalena Frech lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Frech put 69% of her first serves in, winning 62% (38/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. Frech broke Paoletti 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).

Frech has an aggregate 16-14 win-loss record in 2023, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Frech has never competed in this tournament before.

Rome
Frech's Record

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw