Hiroki Moriya and Makoto Ochi will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Busan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hiroki Moriya who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hiroki Moriya is the pick to win this match.
Hiroki Moriya -> 1.49
Makoto Ochi -> 2.49
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Prediction and head to head Hiroki Moriya vs. Makoto Ochi
There is no head to head record between Hiroki Moriya and Makoto Ochi since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Hiroki Moriya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-18 | 19-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-28 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-30 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 22-28 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 359, Hiroki got to the qualifications after beating Duckhee Lee 7-66 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Hee Lee (7-66 6-0). During the match, Moriya scored 82 points vs Hee Lee’s 58. Hiroki was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Moriya bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Hiroki Moriya lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Moriya put 54% of his first serves in, winning 76% (28/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Moriya broke Hee Lee 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Moriya has a unfavourable record in the last 10 years having won only 47% of his matches (246-279). 7-10 on hard in 2023. . In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moriya has an aggregate 183-182 record in the last years on hard.
The Japanese has an aggregate 7-10 win-loss record in 2023, 7-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Busan Challenger
Makoto Ochi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-27 | 26-25 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-24 | 33-21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-17 | 17-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 537, Makoto got to the qualifications after defeating Peter Gojowczyk 4-6 6-2 7-5.
In the qualifications against Gojowczyk, Makoto recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 7-5). During the match Ochi scored 97 points vs Gojowczyk’s 78. Makoto was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Ochi scored 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Makoto Ochi was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (34/41) of his 1st serve and 69% (24/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Makoto broke Gojowczyk 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Ochi has a compiled 8-10 win-loss record in 2023, 8-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Busan Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moriya | Ochi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 30 |
| Pts | 82-58 | 97-78 |
| Total Points | 140 | 175 |
| Winners | 28 | 34 |
| %Winners | 34% | 35% |
Both Moriya and Ochi played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Makoto Ochi dropped 1 set while Hiroki Moriya hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Moriya has played 1 set(s) less than Ochi (2 vs 3). Therefore, Moriya played 11 games less than Ochi. The Japanese scored 28 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Ochi made 34 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moriya | Ochi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 37/69 | 41/76 |
| %1st in | 54% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 34/41 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 24/35 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 69% |
Moriya managed to score 2 aces . Ochi managed to score 5 aces . Moriya won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Ochi won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moriya | Ochi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/10 |
| % Converted | 63% | 30% |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 |
| Saved | 4 | 1 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Hiroki dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Makoto conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Moriya | |||
| Q1 Hee Lee |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 82-58 | 82-58 | |
| Total points | 140 | 140 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/69 | 37/69 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 28/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 16/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Ochi | |||
| Q1 Gojowczyk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 97-78 | 97-78 | |
| Total points | 175 | 175 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/76 | 41/76 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 34/41 | 34/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/35 | 24/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLLLWWL
LLLLWWLLWL 
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