Carlos Alcaraz and Jan-Lennard Struff will fight against each other in the final of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.057
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 9.4
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jan-Lennard Struff face off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 4-6 7-5 4-6 7-6(3) 6-4 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in 2022.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Jan-Lennard Struff – Wimbledon 27-June-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-4 | 13-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Alcaraz reached the final after defeating Emil Ruusuvuori 2-6 6-4 6-2, Grigor Dimitrov 6-2 7-5, Alexander Zverev 6-1 6-2, Karen Khachanov 6-4 7-5 and Borna Coric 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Coric (6-4 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 69 points vs Coric’s 51. Carlos was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz recorded 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (27/38) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Coric 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 79% of his matches (196-53). 18-1 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has a composed117-29 record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4.
Carlos has a composed 28-2 win-loss record in 2023, 18-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Jan-Lennard Struff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-9 | 4-6 | 8-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-24 | 21-9 | 14-7 | 5-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-22 | 3-10 | 7-4 | 12-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-30 | 8-11 | 11-8 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-15 | 10-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 65, the German got to the final after beating Luca Nardi 7-5 6-4, Lorenzo Sonego 6-3 6-1, Ben Shelton 4-6 7-64 7-5, Dusan Lajovic 6-72 6-3 6-3, Pedro Cachin 7-67 6-77 6-3, Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-65 5-7 6-3 and Aslan Karatsev 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal against Karatsev, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Struff scored 93 points vs Karatsev’s 91. Struff was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Struff fired 15 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Jan-Lennard Struff was very efficient on serve to win 74% (42/57) of his 1st serve and 54% (21/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Jan-Lennard broke Karatsev 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Struff started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Jan-Lennard’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger,the Manama Challenger,the Phoenix Challenger and Madrid.
Jan-Lennard has a compiled 34-12 win-loss record in 2023, 12-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018 and 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 19 |
| Tot Games | 102 | 202 |
| Pts | 356-285 | 655-611 |
| Total Points | 641 | 1266 |
| Winners | 155 | 305 |
| %Winners | 44% | 47% |
Alcaraz played 5 matches while Struff competed in 7 matches. Struff started his run from the qualifications while Alcaraz had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 1 set, while Jan-Lennard Struff lost 5 sets. Alcaraz has played 8 set(s) less than Struff (11 vs 19). Therefore, Alcaraz played 100 games less than Struff. Carlos scored 155 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Jan-Lennard bagged 305 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 27 | 60 |
| Avg per match | 5.4 | 8.6 |
| 1st in | 214/321 | 391/649 |
| %1st in | 67% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 155/214 | 305/391 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 65/107 | 141/258 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 55% |
Alcaraz made 27 aces (5.4 per match). Struff made 60 aces (8.6 per match). Alcaraz won 72% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Struff won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 20 |
| Converted | 18/33 | 20/42 |
| % Converted | 55% | 48% |
| Conceded | 20 | 44 |
| Saved | 15 | 36 |
| % Saved | 75% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 8 |
Carlos broke his opponents 18 times with a 55% conversion rate. Carlos surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Jan-Lennard broke his opponents 20 times with a 48% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||||
| R2 Ruusuvuori |
R3 Dimitrov |
R4 Zverev |
1/4 Khachanov |
1/2 Coric |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 20 | 15 | 22 | 19 | 102 | |
| pts | 87-85 | 62-43 | 63-38 | 75-68 | 69-51 | 356-285 | |
| Total points | 172 | 105 | 101 | 143 | 120 | 641 | |
| Winners | 44 | 26 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 155 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 42% | 33% | 49% | 39% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 10 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 69/100 | 35/51 | 24/41 | 48/71 | 38/58 | 214/321 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | 59% | 68% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 44/69 | 26/35 | 21/24 | 37/48 | 27/38 | 155/214 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 74% | 88% | 77% | 71% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 12/16 | 12/17 | 10/23 | 13/20 | 65/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 75% | 71% | 43% | 65% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/10 | 3/6 | 4/6 | 18/33 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 67% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 20 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 50% | – | 80% | 50% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Struff | ||||||||||
| Q1 Nardi |
Q3 Karatsev |
R1 Sonego |
R2 Shelton |
R3 Lajovic |
R4 Cachin |
1/4 Tsitsipas |
1/2 Karatsev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | 4-6 7-64 7-5 | 6-72 6-3 6-3 | 7-67 6-77 6-3 | 7-65 5-7 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 18 | 16 | 35 | 31 | 35 | 34 | 29 | 220 | |
| pts | 75-66 | 91-93 | 57-40 | 105-99 | 110-100 | 108-108 | 107-107 | 93-91 | 746-704 | |
| Total points | 141 | 184 | 97 | 204 | 210 | 216 | 214 | 184 | 1450 | |
| Winners | 31 | 36 | 18 | 50 | 44 | 56 | 64 | 42 | 341 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% | 32% | 48% | 40% | 52% | 60% | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 63 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 26 | |
| 1st in | 39/72 | 51/88 | 22/47 | 61/101 | 56/102 | 73/109 | 83/122 | 57/96 | 442/737 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 58% | 47% | 60% | 55% | 67% | 68% | 59% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 31/39 | 36/51 | 18/22 | 50/61 | 44/56 | 56/73 | 64/83 | 42/57 | 341/442 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 71% | 82% | 82% | 79% | 77% | 77% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 22/37 | 16/25 | 23/40 | 26/46 | 20/36 | 19/39 | 21/39 | 163/295 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 59% | 64% | 58% | 57% | 56% | 49% | 54% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/7 | 4/6 | 2/5 | 3/9 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 3/9 | 22/49 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 29% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 80% | 100% | 33% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 53 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6/9 | 3/3 | 4/6 | 5/5 | 4/6 | 9/10 | 5/7 | 42 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 67% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 67% | 90% | 71% | 130% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWWWWW
WWWWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-3 3-6 10-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
