Tommy Paul and Andy Murray will face off in the final of the Aix En Provence Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT CREDIT AGRICOLE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.63
Andy Murray -> 2.21
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Andy Murray
This will be the 2nd time that Tommy Paul and Andy Murray play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Paul won 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the quarter in Stockholm back in 2021.
Highlights Tommy Paul vs Andy Murray – Stockholm 11-November-2021
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-19 | 17-11 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17 (career-high), Paul reached the final after defeating Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-2 6-2, Jurij Rodionov 6-4 6-2 and David Goffin 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, Paul had a good straight sets win against Goffin (6-4 6-2). During the match, Paul scored 67 points vs Goffin’s 51. Paul was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paul managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Tommy Paul lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 61% of his first serves in, winning 76% (28/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (8/24) on the 2nd serve. Paul broke Goffin 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (323-184). 3-2 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Paul has an aggregate98-51 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Tommy’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Acapulco.
Tommy has a composed 19-8 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Aix En Provence Challenger
Andy Murray
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-13 | 5-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-18 | 13-10 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 11-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-20 | 12-11 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 12-9 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-4 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 52, Murray reached the final after defeating Gael Monfils 6-3 6-2, Laurent Lokoli 6-4 5-7 6-3, Luca Van Assche 6-2 7-66 and Harold Mayot 7-5 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Mayot (7-5 6-1). During the match Murray scored 70 points vs Mayot’s 50. Murray was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Murray made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andy Murray was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (26/35) of his 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Murray broke Mayot 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andy has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Brit’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Doha.
Murray has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 88 |
| Pts | 205-153 | 310-242 |
| Total Points | 358 | 552 |
| Winners | 78 | 118 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Paul played 3 matches while Murray competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Andy Murray lost 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paul has played 3 set(s) less than Murray (6 vs 9). Therefore, Paul played 36 games less than Murray. Paul scored 78 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Andy blasted 118 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 101/179 | 152/271 |
| %1st in | 56% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 78/101 | 118/152 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 35/78 | 68/119 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 57% |
Paul made 11 aces (3.7 per match). Murray fired 11 aces (2.8 per match). Paul won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Murray won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 14 |
| Converted | 13/23 | 14/33 |
| % Converted | 57% | 42% |
| Conceded | 14 | 12 |
| Saved | 11 | 7 |
| % Saved | 79% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Tommy broke his opponents 13 times with a 57% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Andy broke his opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. Murray conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | |||||
| R2 Blancaneaux |
1/4 Rodionov |
1/2 Goffin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 18 | 52 | |
| pts | 65-48 | 73-54 | 67-51 | 205-153 | |
| Total points | 113 | 127 | 118 | 358 | |
| Winners | 22 | 28 | 28 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 30/59 | 34/59 | 37/61 | 101/179 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 58% | 61% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 28/34 | 28/37 | 78/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 82% | 76% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 13/25 | 8/24 | 35/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 52% | 33% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/8 | 5/9 | 13/23 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 38% | 56% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 3/3 | 3/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | 60% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Murray | ||||||
| R1 Monfils |
R2 Lokoli |
1/4 Van |
1/2 Mayot |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | 6-2 7-66 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 21 | 19 | 88 | |
| pts | 62-42 | 100-91 | 78-59 | 70-50 | 310-242 | |
| Total points | 104 | 191 | 137 | 120 | 552 | |
| Winners | 24 | 36 | 32 | 26 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% | 41% | 37% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 30/51 | 49/90 | 38/64 | 35/66 | 152/271 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 54% | 59% | 53% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 36/49 | 32/38 | 26/35 | 118/152 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 73% | 84% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 23/41 | 13/26 | 20/31 | 68/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 56% | 50% | 65% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/10 | 3/7 | 3/8 | 14/33 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 40% | 43% | 38% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/3 | 2/3 | 4/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | 67% | 100% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tommy PaulPaul – Andy MurrayMurray (1-0) – H2H and prediction
