Carlos Alcaraz and Borna Coric will play each other in the semifinal of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.091
Borna Coric -> 7.4
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Borna Coric
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Borna Coric since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-5 | 13-2 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Alcaraz reached the semifinal after beating Emil Ruusuvuori 2-6 6-4 6-2, Grigor Dimitrov 6-2 7-5, Alexander Zverev 6-1 6-2 and Karen Khachanov 6-4 7-5.
In the quarter, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (6-4 7-5). During the match, Alcaraz scored 75 points vs Khachanov’s 68. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 68% of his first serves in, winning 77% (37/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Khachanov 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 79% of his matches (195-53). 17-1 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a composed116-29 record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4.
Alcaraz has a compiled 27-2 win-loss record in 2023, 17-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Borna Coric
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-12 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-19 | 10-10 | 9-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-17 | 10-5 | 10-9 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-12 | 6-5 | 4-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, the Croatian got to the semifinal after beating Hugo Gaston 6-3 6-3, Hubert Hurkacz 7-63 6-3, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-75 6-3 7-65 and Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, Coric had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-3 6-3). During the match Coric scored 56 points vs Altmaier’s 37. The Croatian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Coric managed to score 2 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Borna Coric was very effective on serve to win 90% (28/31) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Croatian broke Altmaier 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Croatian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Croatian has an aggregate 11-8 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Coric |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 83 | 93 |
| Pts | 287-234 | 309-258 |
| Total Points | 521 | 567 |
| Winners | 128 | 143 |
| %Winners | 45% | 46% |
Both Alcaraz and Coric played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz lost 1 set, while Borna Coric dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Coric have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Alcaraz played 10 games less than Coric. Carlos scored 128 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian struck 143 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Coric |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 176/263 | 175/286 |
| %1st in | 67% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 128/176 | 143/175 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 52/87 | 58/111 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 52% |
Alcaraz fired 23 aces (5.8 per match). Coric bagged 15 aces (3.8 per match). Alcaraz won 73% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Coric won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Coric |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/27 | 12/23 |
| % Converted | 52% | 52% |
| Conceded | 18 | 17 |
| Saved | 14 | 14 |
| % Saved | 78% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Carlos lost his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Coric broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Coric conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||||
| R2 Ruusuvuori |
R3 Dimitrov |
R4 Zverev |
1/4 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 20 | 15 | 22 | 83 | |
| pts | 87-85 | 62-43 | 63-38 | 75-68 | 287-234 | |
| Total points | 172 | 105 | 101 | 143 | 521 | |
| Winners | 44 | 26 | 21 | 37 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 42% | 33% | 49% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 69/100 | 35/51 | 24/41 | 48/71 | 176/263 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | 59% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 44/69 | 26/35 | 21/24 | 37/48 | 128/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 74% | 88% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 12/16 | 12/17 | 10/23 | 52/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 75% | 71% | 43% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/6 | 4/10 | 3/6 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 50% | – | 80% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Coric | ||||||
| R2 Gaston |
R3 Hurkacz |
R4 Davidovich Fokina |
1/4 Altmaier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-63 6-3 | 6-75 6-3 7-65 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 35 | 18 | 93 | |
| pts | 59-44 | 71-61 | 123-116 | 56-37 | 309-258 | |
| Total points | 103 | 132 | 239 | 93 | 567 | |
| Winners | 24 | 37 | 54 | 28 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 52% | 44% | 50% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 31/49 | 43/72 | 70/119 | 31/46 | 175/286 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 60% | 59% | 67% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 37/43 | 54/70 | 28/31 | 143/175 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 86% | 77% | 90% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 17/29 | 19/49 | 9/15 | 58/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 59% | 39% | 60% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 1/2 | 5/11 | 3/5 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 45% | 60% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/3 | 11/14 | 0/0 | 14 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 79% | – | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLWWWL
LLLWLLWLWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev – Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (5-7 7-63 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Borna CoricCoric (0-0) – H2H and prediction
