Iga Swiatek and Veronika Kudermetova will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 9:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.101
Veronika Kudermetova -> 6.95

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Veronika Kudermetova

This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Veronika Kudermetova clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 6-0 6-1 in the semifinal in Doha back in February 2023.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Veronika Kudermetova – Doha 17-February-2023

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
WLWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 48-5 22-3 22-1 2-0 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0

Currently world no. 1 the Pole got to the semifinal after defeating Julia Grabher 6-3 6-2, Bernarda Pera 6-3 6-2, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4 6-73 6-3 and Petra Martic 6-0 6-3.

In the quarter, Iga had a good straight sets win against Martic (6-0 6-3). During the match, Swiatek scored 52 points vs Martic’s 29. Iga was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (23/30) of her 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Pole was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Martic 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Iga has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 80% of her matches (241-60). 8-0 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an overall100-14 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Doha where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 6-4.

Swiatek has a composed 24-4 win-loss record in 2023, 8-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Madrid
Swiatek's Record

Veronika Kudermetova

Veronika Kudermetova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
39
High
9
LLWLWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-17 4-8 3-5 0-0 5-4 0-0
2023 34-22 18-14 8-5 1-1 7-2 0-0
2022 39-20 27-13 7-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 33-24 15-13 14-4 3-4 1-3 0-0
2020 19-15 11-7 1-3 7-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 13, Kudermetova got to the semifinal after beating Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 6-3 4-6 6-2, Anastasia Potapova 7-63 5-7 6-3, Daria Kasatkina 7-5 1-6 7-62 and Jessica Pegula 6-4 0-6 6-4.

In the quarter, The Russian defeated Pegula (6-4 0-6 6-4).During the match Kudermetova scored less points (8) than Pegula. In fact, the world no. 1 won 75 points vs Pegula’s. That means that Kudermetova was more focused during the important points. Kudermetova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Kudermetova fired 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Veronika Kudermetova lost the serve 7 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kudermetova put 64% of her first serves in, winning 60% (31/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 28% (8/29) on the 2nd serve. Kudermetova broke Pegula 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide and Doha.

The Russian has a compiled 14-9 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.

Madrid
Kudermetova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
V.Kudermetova
5h:01
5h:01
Time on court​
!
10h:22
10h:22
1h:09
1h:09
Last match​
!
2h:05
2h:05
4
4
Match played
4
4
81
81
Games Played​
119
119
9
9
Set played​​
12
12
261
261
Total points​
384
384
65.3
65.3
Avg point​
96
96
110
110
Winners
156
156
27.5
27.5
Avg Winners​
39
39
42%
42%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
17
17
2.3
2.3
Avg Aces
4.3
4.3
5
5
Double Faults
16
16
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
4
4
110/146
110/146
1st won total​
156/229
156/229
!
75%
75%
1st won %
68%
68%
46/75
46/75
2nd won total​
60/145
60/145
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
41%
41%
-- Break Points --
16/28
16/28
BP won
21/41
21/41
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
5.3/10.3
5.3/10.3
!
57%
57%
Won
!
51%
51%
6
6
Conceded
43
43
1.5
1.5
Avg Conceded
10.8
10.8
4
4
Broken
21
21
1
1
Avg Broken
!
5.3
5.3
2
2
Saved
22
22

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Kudermetova
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 12
Tot Games 81 119
Pts 261-189 384-365
Total Points 450 749
Winners 110 156
%Winners 42% 41%

Both Swiatek and Kudermetova played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek surrendered 1 set, while Veronika Kudermetova dropped 4 sets. Swiatek has played 3 set(s) less than Kudermetova (9 vs 12). Therefore, Swiatek played 38 games less than Kudermetova. The Pole scored 110 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Veronika bagged 156 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Kudermetova
Aces 9 17
Avg per match 2.3 4.3
1st in 146/221 229/374
%1st in 66% 61%
1st pts 110/146 156/229
%1st pts 75% 68%
2nd pts 46/75 60/145
%2nd pts 61% 41%

Swiatek fired 9 aces (2.3 per match). Kudermetova blasted 17 aces (4.3 per match). Swiatek won 75% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Kudermetova won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Kudermetova
Won 16 21
Converted 16/28 21/41
% Converted 57% 51%
Conceded 6 43
Saved 2 22
% Saved 33% 51%
Times Broken 4 21

Swiatek broke her opponents 16 times with a 57% conversion rate. Iga lost her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. Veronika broke her opponents 21 times with a 51% conversion rate. Veronika conceded her serve 21 times and she saved 51% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Grabher
R3
Pera
R4
Alexandrova
1/4
Martic
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-73 6-3 6-0 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 17 17 32 15 81
pts 48-36 62-40 99-84 52-29 261-189
Total points 84 102 183 81 450
Winners 22 22 43 23 110
%Winners 46% 35% 43% 44% 42%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 3 1 9
Double Faults 1 0 2 2 5
1st in 30/45 28/43 58/86 30/47 146/221
% 1st in 67% 65% 67% 64% 66%
1st pts 22/30 22/28 43/58 23/30 110/146
% 1st pts 73% 79% 74% 77% 75%
2nd pts 8/15 10/15 18/28 10/17 46/75
% 2nd pts 53% 67% 64% 59% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 4 5 4 16
Converted 3/5 4/13 5/6 4/4 16/28
Converted % 60% 31% 83% 100% 57%
Conceded 1 1 3 1 6
Saved 0/1 0/1 1/3 1/1 2
Saved % 0% 0% 33% 100% 33%
Times Broken 1 1 2 0 4
Kudermetova
R2
Parrizas-Diaz
R3
Potapova
R4
Kasatkina
1/4
Pegula
Total
Score 6-3 4-6 6-2 7-63 5-7 6-3 7-5 1-6 7-62 6-4 0-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 12
Tot Games 27 34 32 26 119
pts 91-72 112-100 106-110 75-83 384-365
Total points 163 212 216 158 749
Winners 34 45 46 31 156
%Winners 37% 40% 43% 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 8 3 2 4 17
Double Faults 6 3 3 4 16
1st in 45/79 61/101 71/113 52/81 229/374
% 1st in 57% 60% 63% 64% 61%
1st pts 34/45 45/61 46/71 31/52 156/229
% 1st pts 76% 74% 65% 60% 68%
2nd pts 15/34 21/40 16/42 8/29 60/145
% 2nd pts 44% 53% 38% 28% 41%
Breaks
Won 7 4 4 6 21
Converted 7/12 4/11 4/9 6/9 21/41
Converted % 58% 36% 44% 67% 51%
Conceded 9 7 15 12 43
Saved 5/9 3/7 9/15 5/12 22
Saved % 56% 43% 60% 42% 50%
Times Broken 4 4 6 7 21

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw