Taylor Fritz and Zhizhen Zhang will face off in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 6:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.171
Zhizhen Zhang -> 5.05
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Zhizhen Zhang
There is no head to head record between Taylor Fritz and Zhizhen Zhang since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-23 | 23-10 | 15-7 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Taylor got to the 4th round after defeating Christopher O Connell 7-611 6-4 and Cristian Garin 6-1 7-64.
In the 3rd round, Taylor had a good straight sets win against Garin (6-1 7-64). During the match, Fritz scored 80 points vs Garin’s 52. Taylor was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fritz bagged 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Taylor Fritz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 88% (29/33) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Taylor broke Garin 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Fritz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (325-201). 7-2 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fritz has an aggregate 49-36 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(6) and in Delray Beach where he beat Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-0 5-7 6-2.
Fritz has a composed 27-8 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Zhizhen Zhang
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-28 | 9-12 | 9-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 12-13 | 15-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 52-28 | 11-5 | 31-11 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-12 | 1-1 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, the Chinese got to the 4th round after beating Jurij Rodionov 7-66 6-4, Denis Shapovalov 6-74 6-4 7-61 and Cameron Norrie 2-6 7-62 7-62.
In the 3rd round against Norrie, Zhang recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-62 7-62). During the match Zhang scored 97 points vs Norrie’s 90. The Chinese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Zhang scored 13 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Zhizhen Zhang was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (50/63) of his 1st serve and 75% (18/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zhang has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Zhizhen has an aggregate 11-12 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 93 |
| Pts | 163-126 | 270-240 |
| Total Points | 289 | 510 |
| Winners | 63 | 146 |
| %Winners | 39% | 54% |
Fritz played 2 matches while Zhang competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Zhizhen Zhang lost 2 sets while Taylor Fritz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Fritz has played 4 set(s) less than Zhang (4 vs 8). Therefore, Fritz played 50 games less than Zhang. The American scored 63 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Zhizhen managed to score 146 winners (54%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 8 |
| 1st in | 74/124 | 181/244 |
| %1st in | 60% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 63/74 | 146/181 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 37/50 | 46/63 |
| %2nd pts | 74% | 73% |
Fritz fired 18 aces (9 per match). Zhang bagged 24 aces (8 per match). Fritz won 85% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 74% of the points. On the other side, Zhang won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/15 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 27% | 80% |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Fritz broke his opponents 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. Taylor conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Zhang broke his opponents 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Zhang conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | ||||
| R2 O |
R3 Garin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-611 6-4 | 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 20 | 43 | |
| pts | 83-74 | 80-52 | 163-126 | |
| Total points | 157 | 132 | 289 | |
| Winners | 34 | 29 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 10 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/73 | 33/51 | 74/124 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 34/41 | 29/33 | 63/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 88% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/32 | 14/18 | 37/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 78% | 74% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 3/12 | 4/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Zhang | |||||
| R1 Rodionov |
R2 Shapovalov |
R3 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-4 | 6-74 6-4 7-61 | 2-6 7-62 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 36 | 34 | 93 | |
| pts | 71-59 | 102-91 | 97-90 | 270-240 | |
| Total points | 130 | 193 | 187 | 510 | |
| Winners | 36 | 60 | 50 | 146 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 59% | 52% | 54% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 1 | 13 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 44/62 | 74/95 | 63/87 | 181/244 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 78% | 72% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 36/44 | 60/74 | 50/63 | 146/181 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 81% | 79% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 15/21 | 18/24 | 46/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 71% | 75% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 67% | 0% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 71% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWWWW
LLLLWWLLLL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Sebastian BaezBaez (7-5 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-6 7-62 7-62) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1 7-62) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Cristian GarinGarin (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (4-6 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-72 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Holger RuneRune (7-61 5-7 7-65) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Pedro CachinCachin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Andrey RublevRublev (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
