Maria Sakkari and Irina-Camelia Begu will play each other in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.69
Irina-Camelia Begu -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Irina-Camelia Begu
This will be the 4th time that Maria Sakkari and Irina-Camelia Begu square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sakkari won 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4 in the semifinal in St. Petersburg back in 2022.
Highlights Maria Sakkari vs Irina-Camelia Begu – St. Petersburg 12-February-2022
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-10 | 12-6 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Sakkari reached the quarter after beating Arantxa Rus 6-4 6-4, Rebeka Masarova 3-6 6-3 6-3 and Paula Badosa Gibert 6-4 6-4.
In the 4th round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Badosa (6-4 6-4). During the match, Sakkari scored 64 points vs Badosa’s 52. Maria was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sakkari scored 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Maria Sakkari was very effective on serve to win 73% (29/40) of her 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Maria broke Badosa twice after converting 67% of her break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maria has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (359-216). 3-1 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sakkari has a composed 146-76 record in the last years on clay.
Maria’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Australia, Linz, Doha and Indian Wells.
Maria has a composed 18-8 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Irina-Camelia Begu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-14 | 5-7 | 11-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-17 | 7-9 | 20-5 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-17 | 16-10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-11 | 15-5 | 7-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, the Romanian got to the quarter after defeating Karolina Muchova 6-4 7-5, Shelby Rogers 7-5 6-2 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-4 6-4.
In the 4th round, Begu had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (6-4 6-4). During the match Begu scored 68 points vs Samsonova’s 58. Irina-Camelia was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Begu bagged 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Irina-Camelia Begu lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Begu put 77% of her first serves in, winning 64% (30/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the 2nd serve. Irina-Camelia broke Samsonova 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Begu hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Begu’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Romanian has a compiled 10-7 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2015 and 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 62 |
| Pts | 238-209 | 219-179 |
| Total Points | 447 | 398 |
| Winners | 100 | 101 |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% |
Both Sakkari and Begu played 3 matches. At the moment, Maria Sakkari lost 1 set while Irina-Camelia Begu hasn’t lost a set so far. Sakkari has played 1 set more than Begu (7 vs 6). Therefore, Sakkari played 5 games more than Begu. The Greek scored 100 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian scored 101 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 4.7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 147/226 | 142/189 |
| %1st in | 65% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 100/147 | 101/142 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 46/79 | 25/47 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 53% |
Sakkari scored 14 aces (4.7 per match). Begu managed to score 9 aces (3 per match). Sakkari won 68% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Begu won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 12 |
| Converted | 10/25 | 12/28 |
| % Converted | 40% | 43% |
| Conceded | 30 | 17 |
| Saved | 26 | 12 |
| % Saved | 87% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
The Greek broke her opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. Maria dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 87% of the break points that she conceded. Begu broke her opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Begu conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | |||||
| R2 Rus |
R3 Masarova |
R4 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 27 | 20 | 67 | |
| pts | 70-57 | 104-100 | 64-52 | 238-209 | |
| Total points | 127 | 204 | 116 | 447 | |
| Winners | 29 | 42 | 29 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 41/63 | 66/104 | 40/59 | 147/226 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 63% | 68% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 42/66 | 29/40 | 100/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 64% | 73% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 18/38 | 14/19 | 46/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 47% | 74% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/14 | 2/3 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 36% | 67% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 20 | 3 | 30 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 17/20 | 3/3 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 85% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| Begu | |||||
| R2 Muchova |
R3 Rogers |
R4 Samsonova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 20 | 20 | 62 | |
| pts | 79-69 | 72-52 | 68-58 | 219-179 | |
| Total points | 148 | 124 | 126 | 398 | |
| Winners | 37 | 34 | 30 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | 44% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 53/74 | 42/54 | 47/61 | 142/189 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 78% | 77% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 37/53 | 34/42 | 30/47 | 101/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 81% | 64% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 6/12 | 9/14 | 25/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 50% | 64% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/12 | 4/6 | 12/28 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 33% | 67% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 2/3 | 5/7 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 67% | 71% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWWL
LWWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Dennis NevoloNevolo – Jorge MonteroMontero (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel NguyenNguyen – Liam CaruanaCaruana (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin KingKing – Makoto OchiOchi (7-5 1-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Cid SuberviCid Subervi – Benjamin SigouinSigouin (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
