Daniil Medvedev and Aslan Karatsev will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.28
Aslan Karatsev -> 3.68
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Aslan Karatsev
This will be the 5th time that Daniil Medvedev and Aslan Karatsev face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Karatsev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in Mallorca back in 2022.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Aslan Karatsev – Mallorca 22-June-2022
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-10 | 18-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Russian got to the 4th round after defeating Andrea Vavassori 6-4 6-3 and Alexander Shevchenko 4-6 6-1 7-5.
In the 3rd round against Shevchenko, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-5). During the match, Medvedev scored 118 points vs Shevchenko’s 103. Medvedev was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 56% of his first serves in, winning 66% (44/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (25/52) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Shevchenko 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a good record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (456-182). 4-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has a compiled 71-41 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3.
The Russian has an aggregate 33-4 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 7-4 | 17-2 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, the Russian reached the 4th round after defeating Raul Brancaccio 6-4 6-0, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-4 6-2, Laslo Djere 7-65 7-5, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-2 7-5 and Alex De Minaur 6-3 4-6 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Russian defeated De Minaur (6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match Karatsev scored 86 points vs De Minaur’s 85. Karatsev was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Karatsev struck 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Aslan Karatsev lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 64% of his first serves in, winning 74% (45/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. Karatsev broke De Minaur 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Aslan’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Pune.
Karatsev has an aggregate 13-8 win-loss record in 2023, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 108 |
| Pts | 183-150 | 367-304 |
| Total Points | 333 | 671 |
| Winners | 71 | 163 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Medvedev played 2 matches while Karatsev competed in 5 matches. Karatsev started his run from the qualifications while Medvedev had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set, while Aslan Karatsev dropped 1 set. Medvedev has played 6 set(s) less than Karatsev (5 vs 11). Therefore, Medvedev played 60 games less than Karatsev. Medvedev scored 71 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Karatsev managed to score 163 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 102/175 | 221/350 |
| %1st in | 58% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 71/102 | 163/221 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 40/73 | 75/129 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 58% |
Medvedev made 8 aces (4 per match). Karatsev recorded 15 aces (3 per match). Medvedev won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 16 |
| Converted | 8/18 | 16/31 |
| % Converted | 44% | 52% |
| Conceded | 16 | 22 |
| Saved | 12 | 18 |
| % Saved | 75% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Karatsev broke his opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R2 Vavassori |
R3 Shevchenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 4-6 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 29 | 48 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 118-103 | 183-150 | |
| Total points | 112 | 221 | 333 | |
| Winners | 27 | 44 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 67/119 | 102/175 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 44/67 | 71/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 66% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 25/52 | 40/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 48% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 6/14 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 | 16 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 9/13 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 69% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Karatsev | |||||||
| Q1 Brancaccio |
Q3 Struff |
R1 Djere |
R2 Van De Zandschulp |
R3 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-4 6-2 | 7-65 7-5 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 25 | 20 | 29 | 108 | |
| pts | 63-44 | 63-43 | 85-78 | 70-54 | 86-85 | 367-304 | |
| Total points | 107 | 106 | 163 | 124 | 171 | 671 | |
| Winners | 26 | 28 | 38 | 26 | 45 | 163 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% | 45% | 37% | 52% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 37/60 | 34/51 | 53/88 | 36/56 | 61/95 | 221/350 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 67% | 60% | 64% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 28/34 | 38/53 | 26/36 | 45/61 | 163/221 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 82% | 72% | 72% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 11/17 | 21/35 | 13/20 | 17/34 | 75/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 65% | 60% | 65% | 50% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/7 | 2/3 | 4/7 | 3/5 | 16/31 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 43% | 67% | 57% | 60% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 0/0 | 7/8 | 1/2 | 3/5 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 88% | 50% | 60% | 149% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWWLWL
LWLLLLLWLL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Taylor FritzFritz – Cristian GarinGarin (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1 7-62) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (4-6 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-72 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Holger RuneRune (7-61 5-7 7-65) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-7(2) 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Cristian GarinGarin (6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (4-6 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Pedro CachinCachin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Andrey RublevRublev (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
