Borna Coric and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 3 sets.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.56
Borna Coric -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Borna Coric vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 2nd time that Borna Coric and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Davidovich Fokina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Davidovich Fokina won 6-7(5) 6-0 7-5 in the 1st round in Indian wells back in 2022.
Borna Coric
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-13 | 1-6 | 15-5 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-27 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-19 | 10-10 | 9-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-17 | 10-5 | 10-9 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, the Croatian got to the 4th round after defeating Hugo Gaston 6-3 6-3 and Hubert Hurkacz 7-63 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Borna had a good straight sets win against Hurkacz (7-63 6-3). During the match, Coric scored 71 points vs Hurkacz’s 61. Borna was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Coric bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Borna Coric was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (37/43) of his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Coric broke Hurkacz once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Borna hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Coric has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (249-188). 2-2 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Coric has a compiled 78-57 match record in the last years on clay.
Coric has an overall 9-8 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-26 | 22-14 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, the Spaniard got to the 4th round after beating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-3 6-4 and Holger Rune 7-61 5-7 7-65.
In the 3rd round, Alejandro defeated Rune (7-61 5-7 7-65). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 120 points vs Rune’s 116. Alejandro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 65 winners.
Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 77% of his first serves in, winning 68% (65/95) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Rune 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alejandro has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Davidovich Fokina has an aggregate 16-11 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coric | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 57 |
| Pts | 130-105 | 186-170 |
| Total Points | 235 | 356 |
| Winners | 61 | 94 |
| %Winners | 47% | 51% |
Both Coric and Davidovich Fokina played 2 matches. At the moment, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina dropped 1 set while Borna Coric hasn’t dropped a set so far. Coric has played 1 set(s) less than Davidovich Fokina (4 vs 5). Therefore, Coric played 17 games less than Davidovich Fokina. Borna scored 61 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard managed to score 94 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coric | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 74/121 | 142/188 |
| %1st in | 61% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 61/74 | 94/142 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 30/47 | 27/46 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 59% |
Coric struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Davidovich Fokina blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Coric won 82% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coric | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 57% | 41% |
| Conceded | 3 | 15 |
| Saved | 3 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 |
The Croatian broke his opponents 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Coric extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. Alejandro broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Davidovich Fokina conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coric | ||||
| R2 Gaston | R3 Hurkacz | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 40 | |
| pts | 59-44 | 71-61 | 130-105 | |
| Total points | 103 | 132 | 235 | |
| Winners | 24 | 37 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 52% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 31/49 | 43/72 | 74/121 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 60% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 37/43 | 61/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 86% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 17/29 | 30/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 59% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 1/2 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | ||||
| R2 Ramos-Vinolas | R3 Rune | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-61 5-7 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 38 | 57 | |
| pts | 66-54 | 120-116 | 186-170 | |
| Total points | 120 | 236 | 356 | |
| Winners | 29 | 65 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 54% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 47/65 | 95/123 | 142/188 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 77% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 29/47 | 65/95 | 94/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 68% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 16/28 | 27/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 57% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/10 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 30% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 12 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 8/12 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (4-6 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1 7-62) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-72 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Holger RuneRune (7-61 5-7 7-65) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-7(2) 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Cristian GarinGarin (6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (4-6 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Pedro CachinCachin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Andrey RublevRublev (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-3) – H2H and prediction