Andrey Rublev and Karen Khachanov will face off in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.49
Karen Khachanov -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 7th time that Andrey Rublev and Karen Khachanov face off. The head to head is 3-3 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rublev won 7-6(4) 6-2 in the 3rd round in Monte carlo back in April 2023.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Karen Khachanov – Monte carlo 13-April-2023
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-14 | 13-5 | 11-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Andrey reached the 4th round after defeating Stan Wawrinka 7-5 6-4 and Yoshihito Nishioka 6-2 7-5.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Nishioka (6-2 7-5). During the match, Rublev scored 78 points vs Nishioka’s 60. Rublev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev blasted 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev was quite effective on serve to win 87% (33/38) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Nishioka 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (385-214). 10-1 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a compiled 93-59 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Carlo where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5.
The Russian has a compiled 23-9 win-loss record in 2023, 10-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Karen Khachanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-13 | 10-5 | 8-4 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-15 | 12-6 | 4-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Karen got to the 4th round after beating Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-3 3-6 6-3 and Roberto Bautista Agut 7-5 4-6 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Khachanov defeated Bautista-Agut (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match Khachanov scored 109 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 98. Karen was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Khachanov struck 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Karen Khachanov was quite effective on serve to win 73% (44/60) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Khachanov broke Bautista-Agut 3 times after converting 19% of his break points (3/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Russian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in at the Australian Open and Miami.
The Russian has an aggregate 18-8 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 58 |
| Pts | 146-111 | 197-168 |
| Total Points | 257 | 365 |
| Winners | 63 | 79 |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% |
Both Rublev and Khachanov played 2 matches. At the moment, Karen Khachanov conceded 2 sets while Andrey Rublev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Khachanov (4 vs 6). Therefore, Rublev played 16 games less than Khachanov. Andrey scored 63 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Khachanov made 79 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 10.5 |
| 1st in | 72/120 | 105/165 |
| %1st in | 60% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 63/72 | 79/105 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 24/48 | 41/60 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 68% |
Rublev fired 19 aces (9.5 per match). Khachanov managed to score 21 aces (10.5 per match). Rublev won 88% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 5 |
| Converted | 7/14 | 5/19 |
| % Converted | 50% | 26% |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Andrey broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Rublev lost his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Karen broke his opponents 5 times with a 26% conversion rate. Karen conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R2 Wawrinka |
R3 Nishioka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 20 | 42 | |
| pts | 68-51 | 78-60 | 146-111 | |
| Total points | 119 | 138 | 257 | |
| Winners | 30 | 33 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 10 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 38/61 | 72/120 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 62% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 33/38 | 63/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 87% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 12/23 | 24/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 52% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/8 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 38% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Khachanov | ||||
| R2 Moura Monteiro |
R3 Bautista-Agut |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 31 | 58 | |
| pts | 88-70 | 109-98 | 197-168 | |
| Total points | 158 | 207 | 365 | |
| Winners | 35 | 44 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 11 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 45/74 | 60/91 | 105/165 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 35/45 | 44/60 | 79/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 73% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/29 | 18/31 | 41/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 58% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/16 | 5/19 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 19% | 26% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLLWWL
LWLLLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (4-6 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1 7-62) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-72 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Holger RuneRune (7-61 5-7 7-65) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-7(2) 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Cristian GarinGarin (6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (4-6 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Pedro CachinCachin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Andrey RublevRublev (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
