Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.091
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 7.4

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This will be the 3rd time that Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Swiatek and Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 7-6(5) 2-6 6-4 in the semifinal in Ostrava back in 2022.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Ostrava 08-October-2022

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 47-5 22-3 21-1 2-0 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Currently world no. 1 the Pole reached the 4th round after beating Julia Grabher 6-3 6-2 and Bernarda Pera 6-3 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Iga had a good straight sets win against Pera (6-3 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 62 points vs Pera’s 40. Swiatek was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek scored 4 aces and she was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Iga Swiatek was quite effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of her 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Iga broke Pera 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Pole hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 80% of her matches (239-60). 6-0 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a composed98-14 record in the last 8 years on clay.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Doha where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 6-4.

The Pole has an aggregate 22-4 win-loss record in 2023, 6-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Madrid
Swiatek's Record

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
28
High
15
LWLWLWWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 18-17 9-7 1-6 3-1 5-3 0-0
2023 33-21 17-13 6-5 0-1 10-2 0-0
2022 35-18 12-10 13-5 4-2 6-1 0-0
2021 26-23 10-9 6-5 7-7 3-2 0-0
2020 20-12 9-4 4-5 7-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 17, Alexandrova reached the 4th round after defeating Alize Cornet 7-62 6-3 and Qinwen Zheng 5-7 6-4 6-2.

In the 3rd round against Zheng, Ekaterina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-2). During the match Alexandrova scored 100 points vs Zheng’s 90. Alexandrova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Alexandrova fired 8 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 65% of her first serves in, winning 76% (47/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (13/33) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Zheng 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The Russian has an aggregate 11-8 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See her history.

Madrid
Alexandrova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
E.Alexandrova
1h:27
1h:27
Time on court​
!
4h:05
4h:05
1h:15
1h:15
Last match​
!
2h:33
2h:33
2
2
Match played
2
2
34
34
Games Played​
52
52
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
110
110
Total points​
171
171
55
55
Avg point​
85.5
85.5
44
44
Winners
76
76
22
22
Avg Winners​
38
38
40%
40%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
13
13
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
6.5
6.5
1
1
Double Faults
10
10
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
5
5
44/58
44/58
1st won total​
76/97
76/97
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
18/30
18/30
2nd won total​
31/64
31/64
60%
60%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
7/18
7/18
BP won
7/17
7/17
3.5/9
3.5/9
Avg BP won
3.5/8.5
3.5/8.5
39%
39%
Won
41%
41%
2
2
Conceded
13
13
1
1
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
2
2
Broken
4
4
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
0
0
Saved
9
9
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Alexandrova
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 34 52
Pts 110-76 171-144
Total Points 186 315
Winners 44 76
%Winners 40% 44%

Both Swiatek and Alexandrova played 2 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Alexandrova (4 vs 5). Therefore, Swiatek played 18 games less than Alexandrova. Iga scored 44 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandrova managed to score 76 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Alexandrova
Aces 5 13
Avg per match 2.5 6.5
1st in 58/88 97/161
%1st in 66% 60%
1st pts 44/58 76/97
%1st pts 76% 78%
2nd pts 18/30 31/64
%2nd pts 60% 48%

Swiatek fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Alexandrova made 13 aces (6.5 per match). Swiatek won 76% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Alexandrova
Won 7 7
Converted 7/18 7/17
% Converted 39% 41%
Conceded 2 13
Saved 0 9
% Saved 0% 69%
Times Broken 2 4

Swiatek broke her opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Pole dropped her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Grabher		 R3
Pera		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 17 34
pts 48-36 62-40 110-76
Total points 84 102 186
Winners 22 22 44
%Winners 46% 35% 40%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 5
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 30/45 28/43 58/88
% 1st in 67% 65% 66%
1st pts 22/30 22/28 44/58
% 1st pts 73% 79% 76%
2nd pts 8/15 10/15 18/30
% 2nd pts 53% 67% 60%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/5 4/13 7/18
Converted % 60% 31% 39%
Conceded 1 1 2
Saved 0/1 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Alexandrova
R2
Cornet		 R3
Zheng		 Total
Score 7-62 6-3 5-7 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 22 30 52
pts 71-54 100-90 171-144
Total points 125 190 315
Winners 29 47 76
%Winners 41% 47% 44%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 13
Double Faults 6 4 10
1st in 35/66 62/95 97/161
% 1st in 53% 65% 60%
1st pts 29/35 47/62 76/97
% 1st pts 83% 76% 78%
2nd pts 18/31 13/33 31/64
% 2nd pts 58% 39% 48%
Breaks
Won 2 5 7
Converted 2/4 5/13 7/17
Converted % 50% 38% 41%
Conceded 4 9 13
Saved 3/4 6/9 9
Saved % 75% 67% 71%
Times Broken 1 3 4

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw

Swiatek
More Stats
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Alexandrova

Click for FULL STATS