
Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.091
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 7.4
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
This will be the 3rd time that Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Swiatek and Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 7-6(5) 2-6 6-4 in the semifinal in Ostrava back in 2022.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Ostrava 08-October-2022
Iga Swiatek
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 26-8 | 21-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Pole reached the 4th round after beating Julia Grabher 6-3 6-2 and Bernarda Pera 6-3 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Iga had a good straight sets win against Pera (6-3 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 62 points vs Pera’s 40. Swiatek was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek scored 4 aces and she was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Iga Swiatek was quite effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of her 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Iga broke Pera 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 80% of her matches (239-60). 6-0 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a composed98-14 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Doha where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Pole has an aggregate 22-4 win-loss record in 2023, 6-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 17-10 | 5-7 | 8-3 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Alexandrova reached the 4th round after defeating Alize Cornet 7-62 6-3 and Qinwen Zheng 5-7 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round against Zheng, Ekaterina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-2). During the match Alexandrova scored 100 points vs Zheng’s 90. Alexandrova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Alexandrova fired 8 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 65% of her first serves in, winning 76% (47/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (13/33) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Zheng 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
The Russian has an aggregate 11-8 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Swiatek | Alexandrova |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
Tot Games | 34 | 52 |
Pts | 110-76 | 171-144 |
Total Points | 186 | 315 |
Winners | 44 | 76 |
%Winners | 40% | 44% |
Both Swiatek and Alexandrova played 2 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Alexandrova (4 vs 5). Therefore, Swiatek played 18 games less than Alexandrova. Iga scored 44 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandrova managed to score 76 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Swiatek | Alexandrova |
---|---|---|
Aces | 5 | 13 |
Avg per match | 2.5 | 6.5 |
1st in | 58/88 | 97/161 |
%1st in | 66% | 60% |
1st pts | 44/58 | 76/97 |
%1st pts | 76% | 78% |
2nd pts | 18/30 | 31/64 |
%2nd pts | 60% | 48% |
Swiatek fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Alexandrova made 13 aces (6.5 per match). Swiatek won 76% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Swiatek | Alexandrova |
---|---|---|
Won | 7 | 7 |
Converted | 7/18 | 7/17 |
% Converted | 39% | 41% |
Conceded | 2 | 13 |
Saved | 0 | 9 |
% Saved | 0% | 69% |
Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Swiatek broke her opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Pole dropped her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
Swiatek | ||||
R2 Grabher |
R3 Pera |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 34 | |
pts | 48-36 | 62-40 | 110-76 | |
Total points | 84 | 102 | 186 | |
Winners | 22 | 22 | 44 | |
%Winners | 46% | 35% | 40% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
1st in | 30/45 | 28/43 | 58/88 | |
% 1st in | 67% | 65% | 66% | |
1st pts | 22/30 | 22/28 | 44/58 | |
% 1st pts | 73% | 79% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 8/15 | 10/15 | 18/30 | |
% 2nd pts | 53% | 67% | 60% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
Converted | 3/5 | 4/13 | 7/18 | |
Converted % | 60% | 31% | 39% | |
Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | |
Saved % | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Alexandrova | ||||
R2 Cornet |
R3 Zheng |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-62 6-3 | 5-7 6-4 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 22 | 30 | 52 | |
pts | 71-54 | 100-90 | 171-144 | |
Total points | 125 | 190 | 315 | |
Winners | 29 | 47 | 76 | |
%Winners | 41% | 47% | 44% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
1st in | 35/66 | 62/95 | 97/161 | |
% 1st in | 53% | 65% | 60% | |
1st pts | 29/35 | 47/62 | 76/97 | |
% 1st pts | 83% | 76% | 78% | |
2nd pts | 18/31 | 13/33 | 31/64 | |
% 2nd pts | 58% | 39% | 48% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Converted | 2/4 | 5/13 | 7/17 | |
Converted % | 50% | 38% | 41% | |
Conceded | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
Saved | 3/4 | 6/9 | 9 | |
Saved % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Petra MarticMartic – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xiyu WangWang (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bernarda PeraPera (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-63 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (5-7 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Alycia ParksParks (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Shelby RogersRogers (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Mayar SherifSherif – Caroline GarciaGarcia (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Cori GauffGauff (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Magda LinetteLinette (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction