Mateus Alves and Kousuke Ogura will play each other in the qualifications of the Coquimbo Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CANCHA 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mateus Alves who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mateus Alves is the pick to win this match.
Mateus Alves -> 1.101
Kousuke Ogura -> 6.05
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Prediction and head to head Mateus Alves vs. Kousuke Ogura
This will be the 2nd time that Mateus Alves and Kousuke Ogura square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alves (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Alves won 6-1 6-4 in the qualifications in the Cali Challenger back in 2022.
Mateus Alves
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-14 | 3-1 | 17-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-28 | 4-7 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-15 | 5-1 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-33 | 21-20 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 45-15 | 45-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 577, Mateus got to the qualifications after defeating Victor Nunez 4-6 6-0 6-1.
In the qualifications against Nunez, The Brazilian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-0 6-1). During the match, Alves scored 78 points vs Nunez’s 50. Mateus was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alves scored 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Mateus Alves was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (30/42) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Mateus broke Nunez 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
Alves has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 60% of his matches (147-99). 14-8 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Alves has an overall69-60 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
The Brazilian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Mosquera.
Alves has a compiled 14-8 win-loss record in 2023, 14-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Coquimbo Challenger
Alves has never competed in this tournament before.
Kousuke Ogura
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-16 | 13-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-30 | 7-16 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-32 | 12-13 | 13-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-13 | 18-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 822, Ogura got to the qualifications after defeating Cristobal Castro 6-3 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Castro (6-3 6-0). During the match Ogura scored 58 points vs Castro’s 34. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Ogura scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Kousuke Ogura was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (20/27) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ogura broke Castro 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Ogura has a compiled 9-10 win-loss record in 2023, 5-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alves | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 15 |
| Pts | 78-50 | 58-34 |
| Total Points | 128 | 92 |
| Winners | 30 | 20 |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% |
Both Alves and Ogura played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Mateus Alves dropped 1 set while Kousuke Ogura hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alves has played 1 set more than Ogura (3 vs 2). Therefore, Alves played 8 games more than Ogura. Alves scored 30 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Ogura made 20 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alves | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1 |
| 1st in | 42/62 | 27/43 |
| %1st in | 68% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 20/27 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 9/16 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 56% |
Alves fired 2 aces . Ogura fired 1 ace . Alves won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Ogura won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alves | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/9 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 78% | 67% |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 |
| Saved | 3 | 1 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Alves broke his opponent 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Kousuke conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alves | |||
| Q1 Nunez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 78-50 | 78-50 | |
| Total points | 128 | 128 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 42/62 | 42/62 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 30/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Ogura | |||
| Q1 Castro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 58-34 | 58-34 | |
| Total points | 92 | 92 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/43 | 27/43 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 20/27 | 20/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 9/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLLWLW
LWLLWWWLLL 
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