Liudmila Samsonova and Irina-Camelia Begu will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.59
Irina-Camelia Begu -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Irina-Camelia Begu
There is no head to head record between Liudmila Samsonova and Irina-Camelia Begu since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-13 | 4-8 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Ludmilla reached the 4th round after defeating Maryna Zanevska 6-2 6-3 and Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-0.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (6-2 6-0). During the match, Samsonova scored 58 points vs Ostapenko’s 30. Ludmilla was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Samsonova fired 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (23/27) of her 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ludmilla broke Ostapenko 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Samsonova hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 62% of the points she played.
Samsonova has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 64% of her matches (244-137). 2-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Samsonova has an overall98-61 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Abu Dhabi.
Samsonova has an overall 10-9 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Irina-Camelia Begu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-14 | 5-7 | 11-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-17 | 7-9 | 20-5 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-17 | 16-10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-11 | 15-5 | 7-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Begu got to the 4th round after beating Karolina Muchova 6-4 7-5 and Shelby Rogers 7-5 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Begu had a good straight sets win against Rogers (7-5 6-2). During the match Begu scored 72 points vs Rogers’s 52. The Romanian was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Begu scored 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Irina-Camelia Begu lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Begu put 78% of her first serves in, winning 81% (34/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Irina-Camelia broke Rogers 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Begu hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Begu’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
Begu has a compiled 9-7 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2015 and 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Samsonova | Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 42 |
| Pts | 125-76 | 151-121 |
| Total Points | 201 | 272 |
| Winners | 45 | 71 |
| %Winners | 36% | 47% |
Both Samsonova and Begu played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Samsonova and Begu have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Samsonova played 11 games less than Begu. Ludmilla scored 45 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Begu bagged 71 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Samsonova | Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 55/87 | 95/128 |
| %1st in | 63% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 45/55 | 71/95 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 16/33 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 48% |
Samsonova fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Begu blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Samsonova won 82% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Begu won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Samsonova | Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 8 |
| Converted | 11/16 | 8/22 |
| % Converted | 69% | 36% |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Saved | 7 | 7 |
| % Saved | 78% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Ludmilla broke her opponents 11 times with a 69% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve twice and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
| Samsonova | ||||
| R2 Zanevska |
R3 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 14 | 31 | |
| pts | 67-46 | 58-30 | 125-76 | |
| Total points | 113 | 88 | 201 | |
| Winners | 22 | 23 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 40% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 28/47 | 27/40 | 55/87 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 68% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 22/28 | 23/27 | 45/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 85% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 7/13 | 16/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 54% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/8 | 11/16 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 63% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 2/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 100% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Begu | ||||
| R2 Muchova |
R3 Rogers |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 20 | 42 | |
| pts | 79-69 | 72-52 | 151-121 | |
| Total points | 148 | 124 | 272 | |
| Winners | 37 | 34 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 53/74 | 42/54 | 95/128 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 78% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 37/53 | 34/42 | 71/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 81% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/21 | 6/12 | 16/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 50% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/12 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 2/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLLW
LWWLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bernarda PeraPera (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xiyu WangWang (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Alycia ParksParks (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-63 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Shelby RogersRogers (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Cori GauffGauff (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Magda LinetteLinette (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Mayar SherifSherif – Caroline GarciaGarcia (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bernarda PeraPera (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xiyu WangWang (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-4 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Alycia ParksParks (7-6(3) 6-1) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-6(3) 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
