Maria Sakkari and Paula Badosa Gibert will play each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.71
Maria Sakkari -> 2.14

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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Paula Badosa Gibert

This will be the 3rd time that Maria Sakkari and Paula Badosa Gibert square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Sakkari and Badosa (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Sakkari won 6-2 4-6 6-1 in the semifinal in Indian Wells back in 2022.

Highlights Maria Sakkari vs Paula Badosa Gibert – Indian Wells 18-March-2022

Maria Sakkari

Maria Sakkari

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
9
High
3
WLLLLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 22-13 12-6 9-5 0-0 1-2 0-0
2023 38-25 26-17 5-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2022 40-23 21-12 8-5 4-2 7-4 0-0
2021 38-20 23-13 9-4 5-2 1-1 0-0
2020 20-11 12-7 2-2 6-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 9, Sakkari got to the 4th round after defeating Arantxa Rus 6-4 6-4 and Rebeka Masarova 3-6 6-3 6-3.

In the 3rd round against Masarova, Maria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Sakkari scored 104 points vs Masarova’s 100. Maria was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sakkari managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 3 times and she saved 17 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 63% of her first serves in, winning 64% (42/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. Sakkari broke Masarova 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Maria has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points she played.

Sakkari has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (358-216). 2-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sakkari has a composed 145-76 record in the last years on clay.

The Greek’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Australia, Linz, Doha and Indian Wells.

The Greek has an overall 17-8 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Madrid
Sakkari's Record

Paula Badosa Gibert

Paula Badosa Gibert

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
93
High
2
LWWLWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 13-12 5-6 6-5 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2020 14-9 7-6 6-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 42, Paula reached the 4th round after beating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-3 4-6 6-4 and Cori Gauff 6-3 6-0.

In the 3rd round, Badosa had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-3 6-0). During the match Badosa scored 58 points vs Gauff’s 32. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about serving, Badosa managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 73% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Gauff 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Paula’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.

Paula has an aggregate 13-6 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See her history.

Madrid
Badosa's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Sakkari
P.Badosa
3h:58
3h:58
Time on court​
3h:41
3h:41
!
2h:23
2h:23
Last match​
1h:11
1h:11
2
2
Match played
2
2
47
47
Games Played​
44
44
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
174
174
Total points​
160
160
87
87
Avg point​
80
80
71
71
Winners
54
54
35.5
35.5
Avg Winners​
27
27
41%
41%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
7
7
4.5
4.5
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
8
8
Double Faults
11
11
4
4
Avg Double Faults
!
5.5
5.5
71/107
71/107
1st won total​
54/82
54/82
66%
66%
1st won %
66%
66%
32/60
32/60
2nd won total​
29/56
29/56
53%
53%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
8/22
8/22
BP won
12/24
12/24
4/11
4/11
Avg BP won
6/12
6/12
36%
36%
Won
50%
50%
27
27
Conceded
14
14
13.5
13.5
Avg Conceded
7
7
4
4
Broken
5
5
2
2
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
23
23
Saved
9
9
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sakkari Badosa
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 47 44
Pts 174-157 160-127
Total Points 331 287
Winners 71 54
%Winners 41% 34%

Both Sakkari and Badosa played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Maria Sakkari conceded 1 set, while Paula Badosa Gibert lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sakkari and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Sakkari played 3 games more than Badosa. The Greek scored 71 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa made 54 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sakkari Badosa
Aces 9 7
Avg per match 4.5 3.5
1st in 107/167 82/138
%1st in 64% 59%
1st pts 71/107 54/82
%1st pts 66% 66%
2nd pts 32/60 29/56
%2nd pts 53% 52%

Sakkari recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Badosa scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sakkari won 66% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sakkari Badosa
Won 8 12
Converted 8/22 12/24
% Converted 36% 50%
Conceded 27 14
Saved 23 9
% Saved 85% 64%
Times Broken 4 5

Maria broke her opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Maria surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.

Sakkari
R2
Rus		 R3
Masarova		 Total
Score 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 20 27 47
pts 70-57 104-100 174-157
Total points 127 204 331
Winners 29 42 71
%Winners 41% 40% 41%
SERVE
Aces 6 3 9
Double Faults 2 6 8
1st in 41/63 66/104 107/167
% 1st in 65% 63% 64%
1st pts 29/41 42/66 71/107
% 1st pts 71% 64% 66%
2nd pts 14/22 18/38 32/60
% 2nd pts 64% 47% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 5 8
Converted 3/8 5/14 8/22
Converted % 38% 36% 36%
Conceded 7 20 27
Saved 6/7 17/20 23
Saved % 86% 85% 86%
Times Broken 1 3 4
Badosa
R2
Cocciaretto 		R3
Gauff 		Total
Score 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-0
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 29 15 44
pts 102-95 58-32 160-127
Total points 197 90 287
Winners 32 22 54
%Winners 31% 38% 34%
SERVE
Aces 5 2 7
Double Faults 10 1 11
1st in 50/94 32/44 82/138
% 1st in 53% 73% 59%
1st pts 32/50 22/32 54/82
% 1st pts 64% 69% 66%
2nd pts 23/44 6/12 29/56
% 2nd pts 52% 50% 52%
Breaks
Won 6 6 12
Converted 6/14 6/10 12/24
Converted % 43% 60% 50%
Conceded 11 3 14
Saved 7/11 2/3 9
Saved % 64% 67% 66%
Times Broken 4 1 5

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw

Sakkari
More Stats
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Badosa

Click for FULL STATS