Jesper De Jong and Sumit Nagal will square off in the final of the Rome Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:30 am on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jesper De Jong who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jesper De Jong is the pick to win this match.
Jesper De Jong -> 1.41
Sumit Nagal -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Jesper De Jong vs. Sumit Nagal
There is no head to head record between Jesper De Jong and Sumit Nagal since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Jesper De Jong
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-16 | 7-3 | 20-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-23 | 19-4 | 30-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-28 | 12-7 | 10-13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-29 | 2-6 | 27-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 31-12 | 7-3 | 14-5 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 234, the Dutch reached the final after beating Marek Gengel 6-3 6-2, Gianluca Mager 6-0 6-3, Franco Agamenone 6-3 6-4 and Flavio Cobolli 7-5 6-3.
In the semifinal, De Jong had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (7-5 6-3). During the match, De Jong scored 69 points vs Cobolli’s 55. Jesper was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Jong struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jesper De Jong lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, De Jong put 71% of his first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the 2nd serve. The Dutch broke Cobolli 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dutch hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.
De Jong has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (184-108). 21-7 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, De Jong has an overall103-56 record in the last 7 years on clay.
De Jong’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Tigre 2 Challenger and M25 Quinta Do Lago.
De Jong has a composed 31-9 win-loss record in 2023, 21-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rome Challenger
Sumit Nagal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-15 | 15-8 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 9-8 | 32-17 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-18 | 0-1 | 16-17 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-26 | 1-4 | 22-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 347, the Indian got to the final after defeating Jacopo Berrettini 6-4 6-1, Viktor Durasovic 7-5 5-7 6-2, Francesco Maestrelli 6-2 6-4, Fausto Tabacco 6-3 6-0, Max Houkes 7-5 6-0 and Joris De Loore 2-6 7-5 6-4.
In the semifinal against De Loore, The Indian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 6-4). During the match Nagal scored 93 points vs De Loore’s 89. Sumit was very aggressive to blast 54 winners.
About the serving games, Nagal couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Sumit Nagal lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 79% of his first serves in, winning 73% (54/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (8/20) on the 2nd serve. The Indian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break De Loore 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nagal started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Sumit’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Chennai Challenger and the Rome Challenger.
Nagal has an overall 17-10 win-loss record in 2023, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Jong | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 130 |
| Pts | 273-204 | 463-362 |
| Total Points | 477 | 825 |
| Winners | 115 | 211 |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% |
De Jong played 4 matches while Nagal competed in 6 matches. Nagal started his run from the qualifications while De Jong had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Sumit Nagal surrendered 2 sets while Jesper De Jong hasn’t surrendered a set so far. De Jong has played 6 set(s) less than Nagal (8 vs 14). Therefore, De Jong played 58 games less than Nagal. Jesper scored 115 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Sumit scored 211 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Jong | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 159/244 | 305/410 |
| %1st in | 65% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 115/159 | 211/305 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 46/85 | 58/105 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 55% |
De Jong scored 11 aces (2.8 per match). Nagal bagged 4 aces (0.7 per match). De Jong won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Nagal won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Jong | Nagal |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 28 |
| Converted | 16/36 | 28/42 |
| % Converted | 44% | 67% |
| Conceded | 19 | 31 |
| Saved | 14 | 20 |
| % Saved | 74% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 11 |
De Jong broke his opponents 16 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Dutch dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Nagal broke his opponents 28 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Indian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Jong | ||||||
| R1 Gengel |
R2 Mager |
1/4 Agamenone |
1/2 Cobolli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-0 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 15 | 19 | 21 | 72 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 65-41 | 74-61 | 69-55 | 273-204 | |
| Total points | 112 | 106 | 135 | 124 | 477 | |
| Winners | 21 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 43% | 45% | 48% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/60 | 36/46 | 43/70 | 48/68 | 159/244 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 78% | 61% | 71% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 21/32 | 28/36 | 33/43 | 33/48 | 115/159 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 78% | 77% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 4/10 | 11/27 | 13/20 | 46/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 40% | 41% | 65% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/13 | 4/10 | 3/5 | 16/36 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 40% | 60% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 4/5 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 80% | 67% | 50% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Nagal | ||||||||
| Q1 Berrettini |
Q3 Durasovic |
R1 Maestrelli |
R2 Tabacco |
1/4 Houkes |
1/2 De Loore |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 7-5 5-7 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-0 | 7-5 6-0 | 2-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 32 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 30 | 130 | |
| pts | 68-53 | 112-104 | 61-40 | 64-39 | 65-37 | 93-89 | 463-362 | |
| Total points | 121 | 216 | 101 | 103 | 102 | 182 | 825 | |
| Winners | 22 | 54 | 23 | 30 | 28 | 54 | 211 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 48% | 38% | 47% | 43% | 58% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 35/54 | 93/117 | 30/44 | 41/53 | 32/48 | 74/94 | 305/410 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 79% | 68% | 77% | 67% | 79% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 22/35 | 54/93 | 23/30 | 30/41 | 28/32 | 54/74 | 211/305 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 58% | 77% | 73% | 88% | 73% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 13/24 | 10/14 | 7/12 | 10/16 | 8/20 | 58/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 54% | 71% | 58% | 63% | 40% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 28 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 7/11 | 4/6 | 4/8 | 4/6 | 3/3 | 28/42 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 64% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 31 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 9/14 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 6/9 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 64% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 95% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLWL
LLWWWWWWWW 
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