Andrey Rublev and Yoshihito Nishioka will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.21
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 4.45
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Yoshihito Nishioka
This will be the 4th time that Andrey Rublev and Yoshihito Nishioka fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Nishioka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Nishioka won 6-3 6-4 in the semifinal in Washington back in 2022.
Highlights Yoshihito Nishioka vs Andrey Rublev – Washington 06-August-2022
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 13-5 | 9-4 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the Russian reached the 3rd round after defeating Stan Wawrinka 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Wawrinka (7-5 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 68 points vs Wawrinka’s 51. Rublev was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev made 9 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 58% of his first serves in, winning 88% (30/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Wawrinka 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (384-214). 9-1 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has an aggregate 92-59 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Carlo where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5.
The Russian has a compiled 22-9 win-loss record in 2023, 9-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Yoshihito Nishioka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-17 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-22 | 14-15 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 25-13 | 2-5 | 17-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-26 | 5-11 | 8-7 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-13 | 10-6 | 2-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, the Japanese got to the 3rd round after defeating Alex Molcan 5-7 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Molcan, Nishioka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-4). During the match Nishioka scored 110 points vs Molcan’s 97. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Nishioka struck 4 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yoshihito Nishioka lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nishioka put 73% of his first serves in, winning 68% (50/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. Nishioka broke Molcan 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).
Nishioka’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Japanese has a compiled 10-7 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 |
| Pts | 68-51 | 110-97 |
| Total Points | 119 | 207 |
| Winners | 30 | 50 |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% |
Both Rublev and Nishioka played 1 match. At the moment, Yoshihito Nishioka lost 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rublev has played 1 set(s) less than Nishioka (2 vs 3). Therefore, Rublev played 10 games less than Nishioka. Rublev scored 30 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese blasted 50 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 4 |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 74/102 |
| %1st in | 58% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 50/74 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 18/28 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 64% |
Rublev blasted 9 aces . Nishioka recorded 4 aces . Rublev won 88% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Nishioka won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/15 |
| % Converted | 67% | 27% |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 60% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Russian broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. Yoshihito conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||
| R2 Wawrinka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 68-51 | 68-51 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 34/59 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 30/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 12/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Nishioka | |||
| R2 Molcan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 110-97 | 110-97 | |
| Total points | 207 | 207 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 74/102 | 74/102 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 50/74 | 50/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 18/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 4/15 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLWWWW
LWLWWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Marcos GironGiron (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Tommy PaulPaul (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (7-611 6-4) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-63 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-1 7-66) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-2 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Casper RuudRuud (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Hugo GastonGaston (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Alex MolcanMolcan (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Alexander BublikBublik (6-1 4-6 7-69) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Oscar OtteOtte (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-63 ret.) – See score progression
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-76 7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Quentin HalysHalys (4-6 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-79 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (7-66 7-62) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-65 7-67) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-2 3-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-6(4) 7-5) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-1 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Tommy PaulPaul (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Marcos GironGiron (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell (7-6(11) 6-4) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-6(3) 6-7(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Andrey RublevRublev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (2-6) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Borna CoricCoric (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Christian GarinGarin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
