Ekaterina Alexandrova and Qinwen Zheng will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 800 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.68
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Qinwen Zheng
This will be the 2nd time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Qinwen Zheng square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Alexandrova won 2-6 7-5 5-2 ret. in the 2nd round in Charleston back in 2022.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-17 | 9-7 | 1-6 | 3-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-4 | 4-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Alexandrova reached the 3rd round after beating Alize Cornet 7-62 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Cornet (7-62 6-3). During the match, Alexandrova scored 71 points vs Cornet’s 54. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alexandrova scored 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Ekaterina Alexandrova was extremely efficient on serve to win 83% (29/35) of her 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Ekaterina broke Cornet twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).
Alexandrova has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 61% of her matches (278-179). 3-2 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Alexandrova has a composed83-59 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Ekaterina has an overall 10-8 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-11 | 14-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 38-8 | 3-3 | 26-3 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Qinwen reached the 3rd round after defeating Caty McNally 6-4 7-63.
In the 2nd round, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against McNally (6-4 7-63). During the match Zheng scored 83 points vs McNally’s 73. The Chinese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Zheng scored 7 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 55% of her first serves in, winning 66% (27/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the 2nd serve. Zheng broke McNally 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Qinwen’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Abu Dhabi.
Zheng has an aggregate 13-7 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alexandrova | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 23 |
| Pts | 71-54 | 83-73 |
| Total Points | 125 | 156 |
| Winners | 29 | 27 |
| %Winners | 41% | 33% |
Both Alexandrova and Zheng played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alexandrova and Zheng have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Alexandrova played 1 game less than Zheng. Alexandrova scored 29 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese blasted 27 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alexandrova | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 35/66 | 41/75 |
| %1st in | 53% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 27/41 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/34 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 53% |
Alexandrova recorded 5 aces . Zheng blasted 7 aces . Alexandrova won 83% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alexandrova | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 4 |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 75% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Ekaterina broke her opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian dropped her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Chinese broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Qinwen conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Alexandrova | |||
| R2 Cornet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 71-54 | 71-54 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/66 | 35/66 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 29/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Zheng | |||
| R2 McNally |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 83-73 | 83-73 | |
| Total points | 156 | 156 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 41/75 | 41/75 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 27/41 | 27/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 18/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWWLL
LWLWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bernarda PeraPera (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xiyu WangWang (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Alycia ParksParks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Mayar SherifSherif (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
