Jessica Pegula and Marie Bouzkova will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.23
Marie Bouzkova -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Marie Bouzkova
This will be the 5th time that Jessica Pegula and Marie Bouzkova clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Bouzkova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Bouzkova won 5-7 6-2 6-0 in the 2nd round in Indian Wells back in 2022.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-13 | 28-8 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Pegula reached the 3rd round after defeating Magdalena Frech 7-65 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Frech (7-65 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 77 points vs Frech’s 69. Jessica was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula blasted 8 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Jessica Pegula was very effective on serve to win 71% (30/42) of her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Jessica broke Frech 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (265-155). 4-1 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a composed 67-46 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Australia where she beat Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.
The American has a compiled 25-7 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Marie Bouzkova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-18 | 12-12 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-24 | 19-16 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-14 | 33-10 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-21 | 11-13 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-12 | 11-8 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Marie got to the 3rd round after beating Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-4 6-74 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Marie defeated Sasnovich (6-4 6-74 6-3). During the match Bouzkova scored 114 points vs Sasnovich’s 97. Marie was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about serving, Bouzkova blasted 7 aces and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Marie Bouzkova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Bouzkova put 75% of her first serves in, winning 68% (51/75) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Sasnovich 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).
Bouzkova has a composed 9-11 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 |
| Pts | 77-69 | 114-97 |
| Total Points | 146 | 211 |
| Winners | 30 | 51 |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% |
Both Pegula and Bouzkova played 1 match. At the moment, Marie Bouzkova lost 1 set while Jessica Pegula hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set(s) less than Bouzkova (2 vs 3). Therefore, Pegula played 10 games less than Bouzkova. Pegula scored 30 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech scored 51 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 7 |
| 1st in | 42/73 | 75/100 |
| %1st in | 58% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 51/75 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 14/25 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 56% |
Pegula fired 8 aces . Bouzkova bagged 7 aces . Pegula won 71% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Bouzkova won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/15 |
| % Converted | 43% | 33% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 2 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The American broke her opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jessica dropped her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Bouzkova broke her opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Bouzkova conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||
| R2 Frech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 77-69 | 77-69 | |
| Total points | 146 | 146 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 42/73 | 42/73 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 30/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 16/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Bouzkova | |||
| R2 Sasnovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-74 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 114-97 | 114-97 | |
| Total points | 211 | 211 | |
| Winners | 51 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 75/100 | 75/100 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 51/75 | 51/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 14/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWW
WWLWLLLWWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Magda LinetteLinette (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elise MertensMertens – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Cori GauffGauff (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Shelby RogersRogers (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bernarda PeraPera (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xiyu WangWang (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Alycia ParksParks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Rebeka MasarovaMasarova – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Mayar SherifSherif (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
