H2H, prediction of Liudmila Samsonova vs Jelena Ostapenko in Madrid with odds, preview, pick | 29th April 2023

PREVIEW. Madrid. Samsonova and Ostapenko will play each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Saturday the 29th of April

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Jelena Ostapenko

Liudmila Samsonova and Jelena Ostapenko will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.88
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.92

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Jelena Ostapenko

This will be the 3rd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Jelena Ostapenko play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Ostapenko won 6-1 7-6(4) in the semifinal in Luxembourg back in 2021.

Liudmila Samsonova

Liudmila Samsonova
Liudmila Samsonova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
15
High
12
LLLWWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 26-22 12-14 6-5 0-0 8-3 0-0
2023 34-24 25-15 4-4 1-1 4-4 0-0
2022 30-17 26-10 3-4 0-0 1-3 0-0
2021 39-22 15-9 6-9 8-3 10-1 0-0
2020 20-12 10-6 4-4 6-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 18, Samsonova reached the 3rd round after defeating Maryna Zanevska 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Zanevska (6-2 6-3). During the match, Samsonova scored 67 points vs Zanevska’s 46. Ludmilla was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Samsonova made 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 60% of her first serves in, winning 79% (22/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Ludmilla broke Zanevska 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).

Samsonova has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 64% of her matches (243-137). 1-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Samsonova has an overall97-61 record in the last 8 years on clay.

Samsonova’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Abu Dhabi.

Samsonova has an overall 9-9 win-loss record in 2023, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Samsonova
Madrid
Samsonova's Record

Jelena Ostapenko

Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
13
High
5
LLLLWLLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-19 14-10 8-6 4-0 5-3 0-0
2023 37-22 21-15 7-4 1-1 8-2 0-0
2022 33-19 19-10 3-3 3-3 8-3 0-0
2021 32-19 12-9 5-4 7-4 8-2 0-0
2020 9-8 3-2 4-3 2-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 22, Jelena reached the 3rd round after defeating Linda Fruhvirtova 6-0 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Fruhvirtova (6-0 6-3). During the match Ostapenko scored 57 points vs Fruhvirtova’s 30. The Latvian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.

About the serving games, Ostapenko fired 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 56% of her first serves in, winning 67% (18/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Fruhvirtova 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

The Latvian has an aggregate 14-9 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019 and 2021. See her history.

Ostapenko
Madrid
Ostapenko's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Samsonova
J.Ostapenko
1h:26
1h:26
Time on court​
1h:01
1h:01
1h:26
1h:26
Last match​
1h:01
1h:01
1
1
Match played
1
1
17
17
Games Played​
15
15
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
67
67
Total points​
57
57
67
67
Avg point​
57
57
22
22
Winners
18
18
22
22
Avg Winners​
18
18
33%
33%
Ratio winners
32%
32%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
2
2
3
3
Avg Aces
2
2
2
2
Double Faults
3
3
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3
3
22/28
22/28
1st won total​
18/27
18/27
!
79%
79%
1st won %
67%
67%
9/19
9/19
2nd won total​
15/21
15/21
47%
47%
2nd won %
!
71%
71%
-- Break Points --
6/8
6/8
BP won
5/6
5/6
6/8
6/8
Avg BP won
5/6
5/6
!
75%
75%
Won
!
83%
83%
7
7
Conceded
3
3
7
7
Avg Conceded
3
3
2
2
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
5
5
Saved
2
2
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Samsonova Ostapenko
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 15
Pts 67-46 57-30
Total Points 113 87
Winners 22 18
%Winners 33% 32%

Both Samsonova and Ostapenko played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Samsonova and Ostapenko have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Samsonova played 2 games more than Ostapenko. The Russian scored 22 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Ostapenko struck 18 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve Samsonova Ostapenko
Aces 3 2
Avg per match 3 2
1st in 28/47 27/48
%1st in 60% 56%
1st pts 22/28 18/27
%1st pts 79% 67%
2nd pts 9/19 15/21
%2nd pts 47% 71%

Samsonova scored 3 aces . Ostapenko bagged 2 aces . Samsonova won 79% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 71% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Samsonova Ostapenko
Won 6 5
Converted 6/8 5/6
% Converted 75% 83%
Conceded 7 3
Saved 5 2
% Saved 71% 67%
Times Broken 2 1

Samsonova broke her opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Latvian broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Jelena conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Samsonova
R2
Zanevska		 Total
Score 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 67-46 67-46
Total points 113 113
Winners 22 22
%Winners 33% 33%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 28/47 28/47
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 22/28 22/28
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 9/19 9/19
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/8 6/8
Converted % 75% 75%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 5/7 5
Saved % 71% 71%
Times Broken 2 2
Ostapenko
R2
Fruhvirtova		 Total
Score 6-0 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 57-30 57-30
Total points 87 87
Winners 18 18
%Winners 32% 32%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 27/48 27/48
% 1st in 56% 56%
1st pts 18/27 18/27
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 15/21 15/21
% 2nd pts 71% 71%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/6 5/6
Converted % 83% 83%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Liudmila Samsonova
  • 0Slam
  • 5Main
  • 2ITF
  • 2Minor
Jelena Ostapenko
  • 1Slam
  • 8Main
  • 1ITF
  • 6Minor

Liudmila
Samsonova

2:2

Jelena
Ostapenko

Rank

15

High

12

1Hard1

1Clay0

0I.hard1

Rank

13

High

5

Win Loss
Samsonova
LLLWWWLWWW
Ostapenko
LLLLWLLWWW
2024 2023 2022
26 - 22
31 - 19
12-14
Hard
14-10
0-0
I Hard
4-0
6-5
Clay
8-6
8-3
Grass
5-3

Tennis Scores in Madrid

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Samsonova
Liudmila Samsonova
More Stats
Click here
Ostapenko Jelena Ostapenko