Jessica Pegula and Magdalena Frech will play each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.121
Magdalena Frech -> 6.2

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Magdalena Frech

This will be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Magdalena Frech square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Pegula won 6-3 6-0 in the 1st round in Chicago back in 2021.

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), she will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in 0 where she beat 6-1 6-3 to Grabher in the Rubber 3 on the 15th of April.

Pegula has an aggregate 24-7 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Australia where she overcame Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.

Talking about her overall career, The American has an overall 359-219 record. She has a positive 108-69 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2022. See her history.

Madrid
Pegula's Record

Magdalena Frech

Magdalena Frech

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
58
High
22
LWWLLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-25 10-16 4-5 0-0 1-4 0-0
2024 41-30 28-15 10-9 1-2 2-4 0-0
2023 39-32 23-21 10-5 0-2 6-4 0-0
2022 38-38 22-19 11-12 1-3 4-4 0-0
2021 38-19 12-5 16-8 6-3 3-2 1-1

Ranked no. 100, Magdalena got to the 2nd round after defeating Olga Danilovic 2-6 6-3 7-5, Aliona Bolsova 6-4 7-5 and Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Paolini (6-2 6-3). During the match Frech scored 63 points vs Paolini’s 49. Frech was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Frech recorded 2 aces and she was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Magdalena Frech lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Frech put 63% of her first serves in, winning 65% (26/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Frech broke Paolini 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Magdalena has an aggregate 11-12 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See her history.

Madrid
Frech's Record

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw