Casper Ruud and Matteo Arnaldi will play each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.
Casper Ruud -> 1.27
Matteo Arnaldi -> 3.76
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Casper Ruud and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-16 | 12-8 | 14-5 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Norwegian will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Barcelona where he lost 7-6(5) 6-3 to Cerundolo in the 3rd round on the 20th of April.
Ruud has a compiled 11-8 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Estoril where he overcame Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-2 7-6(3).
Talking about his overall career, Casper has an overall 327-178 record. He has a positive 196-89 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 105, Matteo reached the 2nd round after beating Filip Misolic 6-1 6-4, Arthur Fils 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Benoit Paire 6-1 3-6 7-66.
In the 1st round, The Italian defeated Paire (6-1 3-6 7-66). During the match Arnaldi scored 98 points vs Paire’s 90. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Arnaldi blasted 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 64% of his first serves in, winning 73% (44/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Paire 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he defeated Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he overcame Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4).
The Italian has a composed 21-12 win-loss record in 2023, 11-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Kyle EdmundEdmund (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 7-67) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Jurij RodionovRodionov (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Jeff WolfWolf (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Maxime CressyCressy (6-73 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Martin LandaluceLandaluce (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Borna GojoGojo (7-69 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (7-615 6-74 6-4) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-66 7-64) – See score progression
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Yibing WuWu (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Jeremy ChardyChardy (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (7-67 7-63) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Benoit PairePaire (6-1 3-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Oscar OtteOtte – Pavel KotovKotov (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – David GoffinGoffin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Gregoire BarrereBarrere – Emilio NavaNava (6-0 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (4-6 7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Kyle EdmundEdmund (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (7-6(5) 6-2) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Jurij RodionovRodionov (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Corentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Jeff WolfWolf (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Andrey RublevRublev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Oscar OtteOtte (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Laslo DjereDjere (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Gregoire BarrereBarrere – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Richard GasquetGasquet (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea VavassoriVavassori – Andy MurrayMurray (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GastonGaston – Borna CoricCoric (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Pedro CachinCachin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Marcos GironGiron (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (0-1) – H2H and prediction