Sebastian Korda and Hugo Grenier will square off in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on COURT 6. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.3
Hugo Grenier -> 3.52

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Hugo Grenier

There is no head to head record between Sebastian Korda and Hugo Grenier since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Sebastian Korda

Sebastian Korda

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
48
High
15
LWWWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-18 12-8 5-5 7-5 0-0 0-0
2024 31-19 17-9 5-5 2-2 7-3 0-0
2023 26-16 18-8 1-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2022 34-22 13-9 8-6 12-5 1-2 0-0
2021 36-20 12-8 6-5 13-5 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 28, Sebastian will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match at the Australian Open where he lost 7-6(5) 6-3 3-0 ret. to Khachanov in the quarter on the 24th of January.

The American has a composed 8-2 win-loss record in 2023, 0-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

This will be the first match of the season on clay.

The American’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Adelaide.

Talking about his overall career, Korda has an overall 193-123 record. He has a positive 73-48 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.

Madrid
Korda's Record

Hugo Grenier

Hugo Grenier

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
175
High
95
LWWLWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-34 30-18 0-2 9-9 2-5 0-0
2024 39-33 25-15 2-8 9-8 3-2 0-0
2023 27-33 15-8 7-10 4-11 1-4 0-0
2022 35-35 21-14 9-10 1-8 4-3 0-0
2021 43-28 22-9 9-8 12-11 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 128, the French player reached the 2nd round after beating Lukas Klein 6-76 6-3 6-4, Daniel Rincon 6-3 6-74 6-2 and Diego Schwartzman 7-5 6-4.

In the 1st round, Hugo had a good straight sets win against Schwartzman (7-5 6-4). During the match Grenier scored 70 points vs Schwartzman’s 69. Hugo was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Grenier blasted 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Hugo Grenier lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Grenier put 59% of his first serves in, winning 64% (27/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Schwartzman 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

His best result of the season was winning the title the Las Franquesas del Valles Challenger where he beat Billy Harris in the final 3-6 6-1 7-6(3).

Hugo has an overall 14-13 win-loss record in 2023, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Grenier has never competed in this tournament before.

Madrid
Grenier's Record

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw