Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea will play each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.2
Sorana Cirstea -> 4.55
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sorana Cirstea
This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Cirstea (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Cirstea won 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in Miami back in March 2023.
Highlights Sorana Cirstea vs Aryna Sabalenka – Miami 29-March-2023
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-3 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Belarussian will start her run in Madrid after she played her last match in Stuttgart where she lost 6-3 6-4 to Swiatek in the final on the 23rd of April.
Aryna has an aggregate 23-4 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.
Talking about her overall career, The Belarussian has an overall 286-144 record. She has a positive 51-33 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2021. See her history.
Sorana Cirstea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-7 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-16 | 9-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 11-10 | 11-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, Cirstea got to the 2nd round after defeating Lauren Davis 6-3 3-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, Sorana defeated Davis (6-3 3-6 6-1). During the match Cirstea scored 94 points vs Davis’s 73. The Romanian was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Cirstea recorded 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 60% of her first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke Davis 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
The Romanian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Miami.
Sorana has a compiled 14-8 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2016 and 2017. See her history.
Head 2 Head
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LWLWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Kevin KingKing – Deiton BaughmanBaughman (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dennis NevoloNevolo – Evan ZhuZhu (6-1 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jorge MonteroMontero – Takanyi GarangangaGaranganga (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Liam CaruanaCaruana – Boris AriasArias (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Cid SuberviCid Subervi – Kaichi UchidaUchida (4-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Makoto OchiOchi – Samuel MonetteMonette (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin SigouinSigouin – Ante PavicPavic (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel NguyenNguyen – Jonathan ChangChang (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Sara ErraniErrani (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Eugenie BouchardBouchard (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Alycia ParksParks (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – Sloane StephensStephens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Marina Bassols RiberaBassols Ribera (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tatjana MariaMaria – Bernarda PeraPera (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Caty McNallyMcNally (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xiyu WangWang – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Irene Burillo EscorihuelaBurillo Escorihuela (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arantxa RusRus – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Maryna ZanevskaZanevska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ana BogdanBogdan – Shelby RogersRogers (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Rebecca MarinoMarino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
