Pavel Kotov and Yosuke Watanuki will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 2:30 pm on COURT 6. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Kotov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pavel Kotov is the pick to win this match.
Pavel Kotov -> 1.56
Yosuke Watanuki -> 2.31
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Yosuke Watanuki
There is no head to head record between Pavel Kotov and Yosuke Watanuki since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-13 | 4-6 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 101, the Russian reached the qualifications after defeating Kimmer Coppejans 6-4 3-6 7-66.
In the qualifications, The Russian defeated Coppejans (6-4 3-6 7-66).During the match, Kotov scored less points (3) than Coppejans. In fact, the world no. 101 won 99 points vs Coppejans’s. That means that Kotov was more focused during the important points. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kotov recorded 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Pavel Kotov lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Kotov put 62% of his first serves in, winning 76% (42/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Kotov broke Coppejans 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Kotov has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (224-140). 7-3 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kotov has a compiled97-62 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Marrakech.
The Russian has an overall 17-12 win-loss record in 2023, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Yosuke Watanuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 117, the Japanese got to the qualifications after defeating Federico Delbonis 6-4 7-65.
In the qualifications, Watanuki had a good straight sets win against Delbonis (6-4 7-65). During the match Watanuki scored 77 points vs Delbonis’s 73. Yousuke was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Watanuki blasted 16 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Yosuke Watanuki was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Yousuke broke Delbonis once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
The Japanese’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger and the Monterrey Challenger.
The Japanese has an aggregate 16-7 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 23 |
| Pts | 99-102 | 77-73 |
| Total Points | 201 | 150 |
| Winners | 42 | 36 |
| %Winners | 42% | 47% |
Both Kotov and Watanuki played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Pavel Kotov dropped 1 set while Yosuke Watanuki hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kotov has played 1 set more than Watanuki (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kotov played 9 games more than Watanuki. Kotov scored 42 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese managed to score 36 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 16 |
| 1st in | 55/89 | 45/71 |
| %1st in | 62% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 42/55 | 36/45 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 16/34 | 15/26 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 58% |
Kotov fired 7 aces . Watanuki bagged 16 aces . Kotov won 76% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Watanuki won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 1 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 1/5 |
| % Converted | 60% | 20% |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Pavel broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Kotov dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Watanuki broke his opponent once with a 20% conversion rate. Yousuke was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Kotov | |||
| Q1 Coppejans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 99-102 | 99-102 | |
| Total points | 201 | 201 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 55/89 | 55/89 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 42/55 | 42/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/34 | 16/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Watanuki | |||
| Q1 Delbonis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 77-73 | 77-73 | |
| Total points | 150 | 150 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 45/71 | 45/71 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | 36/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 15/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 1/5 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 20% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLWL
LWLLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Oscar OtteOtte (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jeremy ChardyChardy – Hugo GastonGaston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kyle EdmundEdmund – Dominic ThiemThiem (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – David GoffinGoffin (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – Benoit PairePaire (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Jurij RodionovRodionov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna GojoGojo – Zsombor PirosPiros (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Marcos GironGiron (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Quentin HalysHalys (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Constant LestienneLestienne (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yibing WuWu – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime CressyCressy – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio NavaNava – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
