Carlos Alcaraz and Stefanos Tsitsipas will square off in the final of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Pista Rafa Nadal. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.27
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 3.78
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Stefanos Tsitsipas square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 6-4 5-7 6-2 in the quarter in Barcelona back in 2022.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Barcelona 22-April-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-6 | 13-2 | 12-3 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the final after beating Nuno Borges 6-3 6-1, Roberto Bautista Agut 6-3 7-5, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-65 6-4 and Daniel Evans 6-2 6-2.
In the semifinal, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Evans (6-2 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 61 points vs Evans’s 39. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz scored 4 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Evans 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 78% of his matches (190-53). 12-1 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a composed111-29 record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2.
Alcaraz has a compiled 22-2 win-loss record in 2023, 12-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-11 | 10-6 | 17-4 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-14 | 11-6 | 11-3 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Stefanos got to the final after beating Pedro Cachin 6-4 6-2, Denis Shapovalov 6-3 6-2, Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-2 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 5-7 6-3.
In the semifinal, Stefanos defeated Musetti (6-4 5-7 6-3). During the match Tsitsipas scored 101 points vs Musetti’s 86. Tsitsipas was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Tsitsipas made 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Tsitsipas put 67% of his first serves in, winning 68% (42/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Stefanos broke Musetti 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stefanos has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Stefanos’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in at the Australian Open .
Stefanos has a composed 20-5 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2018 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 84 |
| Pts | 281-219 | 292-231 |
| Total Points | 500 | 523 |
| Winners | 98 | 119 |
| %Winners | 35% | 41% |
Both Alcaraz and Tsitsipas played 4 matches. At the moment, Stefanos Tsitsipas surrendered 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Tsitsipas (8 vs 9). Therefore, Alcaraz played 8 games less than Tsitsipas. Alcaraz scored 98 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Stefanos struck 119 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 145/257 | 162/253 |
| %1st in | 56% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 98/145 | 119/162 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 61/112 | 52/91 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 57% |
Alcaraz blasted 8 aces (2 per match). Tsitsipas scored 8 aces (2 per match). Alcaraz won 68% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Tsitsipas won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 16 |
| Converted | 19/35 | 16/32 |
| % Converted | 54% | 50% |
| Conceded | 24 | 13 |
| Saved | 16 | 8 |
| % Saved | 67% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 5 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 19 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 8 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Stefanos broke his opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. Stefanos conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||||
| R2 Borges |
R3 Bautista-Agut |
1/4 Davidovich Fokina |
1/2 Evans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 7-5 | 7-65 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 21 | 23 | 16 | 76 | |
| pts | 56-34 | 79-65 | 85-81 | 61-39 | 281-219 | |
| Total points | 90 | 144 | 166 | 100 | 500 | |
| Winners | 16 | 26 | 33 | 23 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 33% | 39% | 38% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 21/43 | 42/75 | 49/88 | 33/51 | 145/257 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 56% | 56% | 65% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 16/21 | 26/42 | 33/49 | 23/33 | 98/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 62% | 67% | 70% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 18/33 | 18/39 | 10/18 | 61/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 55% | 46% | 56% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/10 | 4/11 | 5/7 | 19/35 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 50% | 36% | 71% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 24 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/7 | 8/11 | 3/4 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 57% | 73% | 75% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Tsitsipas | ||||||
| R2 Cachin |
R3 Shapovalov |
1/4 De Minaur |
1/2 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 18 | 31 | 84 | |
| pts | 62-47 | 69-50 | 60-48 | 101-86 | 292-231 | |
| Total points | 109 | 119 | 108 | 187 | 523 | |
| Winners | 29 | 27 | 21 | 42 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 39% | 35% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 34/54 | 37/56 | 29/51 | 62/92 | 162/253 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 66% | 57% | 67% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 29/34 | 27/37 | 21/29 | 42/62 | 119/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 73% | 72% | 68% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 12/19 | 16/22 | 14/30 | 52/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 63% | 73% | 47% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/9 | 3/9 | 6/11 | 16/32 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 44% | 33% | 55% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 5/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 100% | 50% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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