Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka will face off in the final of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.42
Aryna Sabalenka -> 2.875
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This will be the 7th time that Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 4-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 6-2 2-6 6-1 in the semifinal in Fort Worth back in 2022.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek – Fort Worth 06-November-2022
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-10 | 21-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Iga reached the final after beating Qinwen Zheng 6-1 6-4, Karolina Pliskova 4-6 6-1 6-2 and Ons Jabeur 3-0 ret..
In the semifinal against Jabeur, the Pole had a free pass after Jabeur retired on a 3-0 . scoreline.
Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 80% of her matches (236-60). 3-0 on clay in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has a compiled95-14 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Doha where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0.
Swiatek has a composed 19-4 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42-8 | 23-4 | 17-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Aryna got to the final after defeating Barbora Krejcikova 6-2 6-3, Paula Badosa Gibert 4-6 6-4 6-4 and Anastasia Potapova 6-1 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Potapova (6-1 6-2). During the match Sabalenka scored 59 points vs Potapova’s 34. The Belarussian was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Sabalenka struck 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was quite effective on serve to win 76% (25/33) of her 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Potapova 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where she defeated Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.
The Belarussian has an aggregate 23-3 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2021 and 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 62 |
| Pts | 163-112 | 229-181 |
| Total Points | 275 | 410 |
| Winners | 68 | 92 |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% |
Both Swiatek and Sabalenka played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek dropped 1 set, while Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Sabalenka have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Swiatek played 17 games less than Sabalenka. Iga scored 68 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Sabalenka scored 92 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 5.7 |
| 1st in | 89/143 | 123/194 |
| %1st in | 62% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 68/89 | 92/123 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 28/54 | 38/71 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 54% |
Swiatek managed to score 3 aces (1 per match). Sabalenka struck 17 aces (5.7 per match). Swiatek won 76% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Sabalenka won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 12 |
| Converted | 11/21 | 12/28 |
| % Converted | 52% | 43% |
| Conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Saved | 6 | 7 |
| % Saved | 60% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
The Pole broke her opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Swiatek dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Sabalenka broke her opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R2 Zheng |
1/4 Pliskova |
1/2 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | 3-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 3 | 45 | |
| pts | 62-42 | 89-66 | 12-4 | 163-112 | |
| Total points | 104 | 155 | 16 | 275 | |
| Winners | 27 | 36 | 5 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/52 | 50/81 | 7/10 | 89/143 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | 70% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 36/50 | 5/7 | 68/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 72% | 71% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 16/31 | 3/3 | 28/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 52% | 100% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 1 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/11 | 1/2 | 11/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 55% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 | 0 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 6/9 | 0/0 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 67% | – | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R2 Krejcikova |
1/4 Badosa |
1/2 Potapova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 30 | 15 | 62 | |
| pts | 66-45 | 104-102 | 59-34 | 229-181 | |
| Total points | 111 | 206 | 93 | 410 | |
| Winners | 29 | 38 | 25 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 37% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 4 | 3 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 33/51 | 57/92 | 33/51 | 123/194 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 62% | 65% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 38/57 | 25/33 | 92/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 67% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 17/35 | 11/18 | 38/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 49% | 61% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/15 | 4/5 | 12/28 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 80% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/8 | 3/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWLW
LWWLWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Javier MartiMarti – Renta TokudaTokuda (7-65 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (4-2) – H2H and prediction
