Aryna Sabalenka and Anastasia Potapova will square off in the semifinal of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.4
Anastasia Potapova -> 2.96
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Anastasia Potapova
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Anastasia Potapova since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-5 | 23-4 | 8-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Belarussian got to the semifinal after defeating Barbora Krejcikova 6-2 6-3 and Paula Badosa Gibert 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter against Badosa, Aryna recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 104 points vs Badosa’s 102. Aryna was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka blasted 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 62% of her first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Badosa 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (285-143). 2-0 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an aggregate50-32 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.
The Belarussian has an overall 22-3 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Anastasia Potapova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-7 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 7-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-22 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-21 | 11-14 | 7-4 | 7-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 14-14 | 18-7 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 11-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24 (career-high), the Russian got to the semifinal after beating Petra Martic 6-3 3-6 7-64, Cori Gauff 6-2 6-3 and Caroline Garcia 4-6 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter against Garcia, Anastasia recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3). During the match Potapova scored 102 points vs Garcia’s 92. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Potapova fired 7 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Anastasia Potapova was quite effective on serve to win 77% (44/57) of her 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Potapova broke Garcia 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Linz where she beat Petra Martic in the final 6-3 6-1.
Potapova has an aggregate 18-8 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 76 |
| Pts | 170-147 | 299-261 |
| Total Points | 317 | 560 |
| Winners | 67 | 118 |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% |
Sabalenka played 2 matches while Potapova competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka lost 1 set, while Anastasia Potapova dropped 2 sets. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Potapova (5 vs 8). Therefore, Sabalenka played 29 games less than Potapova. Aryna scored 67 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 118 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 90/143 | 165/259 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 67/90 | 118/165 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 27/53 | 48/94 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 51% |
Sabalenka made 14 aces (7 per match). Potapova blasted 10 aces (3.3 per match). Sabalenka won 74% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Potapova won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 11 |
| Converted | 8/23 | 11/33 |
| % Converted | 35% | 33% |
| Conceded | 8 | 28 |
| Saved | 4 | 22 |
| % Saved | 50% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Anastasia broke her opponents 11 times with a 33% conversion rate. Potapova conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R2 Krejcikova |
1/4 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 30 | 47 | |
| pts | 66-45 | 104-102 | 170-147 | |
| Total points | 111 | 206 | 317 | |
| Winners | 29 | 38 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 37% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 4 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/51 | 57/92 | 90/143 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 38/57 | 67/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 67% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 17/35 | 27/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 49% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/15 | 8/23 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Potapova | |||||
| R1 Martic |
R2 Gauff |
1/4 Garcia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 7-64 | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 17 | 28 | 76 | |
| pts | 120-113 | 77-56 | 102-92 | 299-261 | |
| Total points | 233 | 133 | 194 | 560 | |
| Winners | 47 | 27 | 44 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 35% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 75/113 | 33/55 | 57/91 | 165/259 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 60% | 63% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 47/75 | 27/33 | 44/57 | 118/165 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 82% | 77% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 13/22 | 18/34 | 48/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 59% | 53% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 3/13 | 3/8 | 11/33 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 23% | 38% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 6 | 8 | 28 | |
| Saved | 9/14 | 6/6 | 7/8 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 100% | 88% | 126% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWLWWW
LWWWWLLWLW Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Javier MartiMarti – Marc SieberSieber (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Renta TokudaTokuda – Bogdan BobrovBobrov (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
