H2H, prediction of Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa Gibert in Stuttgart with odds, preview, pick | 21st April 2023

PREVIEW. Stuttgart. Sabalenka and Badosa will face off in the quarter of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 21st of April

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Paula Badosa Gibert

Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the quarter of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.6
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 2.34

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Paula Badosa Gibert

This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa Gibert face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), but Sabalenka leads 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the semifinal in Stuttgart back in 2022.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa Gibert – Stuttgart 23-April-2022

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-8 23-4 17-3 0-0 7-1 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Belarussian got to the quarter after beating Barbora Krejcikova 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (6-2 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 66 points vs Krejcikova’s 45. The Belarussian was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka made 10 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka was extremely effective on serve to win 88% (29/33) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sabalenka broke Krejcikova 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (284-143). 1-0 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled49-32 record in the last 8 years on clay.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.

The Belarussian has an overall 21-3 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stuttgart

Sabalenka
Stuttgart
Sabalenka's Record

Paula Badosa Gibert

Paula Badosa Gibert
Paula Badosa Gibert

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
9
High
2
LLWWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-11 12-7 3-2 0-0 2-2 0-0
2024 37-19 26-11 6-5 0-1 5-2 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 31, the Spaniard reached the quarter after beating Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-1 and Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Badosa had a good straight sets win against Bucsa (6-1 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 61 points vs Bucsa’s 38. Badosa was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.

About the serving games, Badosa scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Paula Badosa Gibert was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (19/24) of her 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Badosa broke Bucsa 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paula hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 62% of the points she played.

Badosa’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.

Paula has a compiled 11-5 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stuttgart

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See her history.

Badosa
Stuttgart
Badosa's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
P.Badosa
1h:15
1h:15
Time on court​
!
2h:20
2h:20
1h:15
1h:15
Last match​
1h:10
1h:10
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
17
17
Games Played​
29
29
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
66
66
Total points​
123
123
66
66
Avg point​
61.5
61.5
29
29
Winners
43
43
29
29
Avg Winners​
21.5
21.5
44%
44%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
4
4
10
10
Avg Aces
2
2
1
1
Double Faults
1
1
1
1
Avg Double Faults
0.5
0.5
29/33
29/33
1st won total​
43/56
43/56
!
88%
88%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
10/18
10/18
2nd won total​
23/42
23/42
56%
56%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
3/8
3/8
BP won
10/18
10/18
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
5/9
5/9
38%
38%
Won
!
56%
56%
0
0
Conceded
7
7
0
0
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
0
0
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Badosa
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 17 29
Pts 66-45 123-74
Total Points 111 197
Winners 29 43
%Winners 44% 35%

Sabalenka played 1 match while Badosa competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Badosa (2 vs 4). Therefore, Sabalenka played 12 games less than Badosa. Aryna scored 29 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard recorded 43 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Badosa
Aces 10 4
Avg per match 10 2
1st in 33/51 56/98
%1st in 65% 57%
1st pts 29/33 43/56
%1st pts 88% 77%
2nd pts 10/18 23/42
%2nd pts 56% 55%

Sabalenka struck 10 aces . Badosa blasted 4 aces (2 per match). Sabalenka won 88% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Badosa
Won 3 10
Converted 3/8 10/18
% Converted 38% 56%
Conceded 0 7
Saved 0 6
% Saved 0% 86%
Times Broken 0 1

Sabalenka broke her opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Belarussian was rock solid on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Paula broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R2
Krejcikova
Total
Score 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 66-45 66-45
Total points 111 111
Winners 29 29
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 33/51 33/51
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 29/33 29/33
% 1st pts 88% 88%
2nd pts 10/18 10/18
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Badosa
R1
Kasatkina
R2
Bucsa
Total
Score 6-1 6-1 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 14 15 29
pts 62-36 61-38 123-74
Total points 98 99 197
Winners 24 19 43
%Winners 39% 31% 35%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 4
Double Faults 0 1 1
1st in 32/47 24/51 56/98
% 1st in 68% 47% 57%
1st pts 24/32 19/24 43/56
% 1st pts 75% 79% 77%
2nd pts 8/15 15/27 23/42
% 2nd pts 53% 56% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/9 5/9 10/18
Converted % 56% 56% 56%
Conceded 1 6 7
Saved 1/1 5/6 6
Saved % 100% 83% 183%
Times Broken 0 1 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sabalenka
WWWWWLWWLW
Badosa Gibert
2025 2024 2023
47 - 8
0 - 0
23-4
Hard
0-0
17-3
Clay
0-0
7-1
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores in Stuttgart

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw