
Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the quarter of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.6
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa Gibert face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), but Sabalenka leads 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the semifinal in Stuttgart back in 2022.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Paula Badosa Gibert – Stuttgart 23-April-2022
Aryna Sabalenka
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 47-8 | 23-4 | 17-3 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Belarussian got to the quarter after beating Barbora Krejcikova 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (6-2 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 66 points vs Krejcikova’s 45. The Belarussian was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka made 10 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka was extremely effective on serve to win 88% (29/33) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sabalenka broke Krejcikova 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (284-143). 1-0 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled49-32 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.
The Belarussian has an overall 21-3 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Paula Badosa Gibert
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 17-11 | 12-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, the Spaniard reached the quarter after beating Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-1 and Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Badosa had a good straight sets win against Bucsa (6-1 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 61 points vs Bucsa’s 38. Badosa was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Badosa scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Paula Badosa Gibert was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (19/24) of her 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Badosa broke Bucsa 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paula hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 62% of the points she played.
Badosa’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
Paula has a compiled 11-5 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sabalenka | Badosa |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 2 |
Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
Tot Games | 17 | 29 |
Pts | 66-45 | 123-74 |
Total Points | 111 | 197 |
Winners | 29 | 43 |
%Winners | 44% | 35% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Badosa competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Badosa (2 vs 4). Therefore, Sabalenka played 12 games less than Badosa. Aryna scored 29 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard recorded 43 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sabalenka | Badosa |
---|---|---|
Aces | 10 | 4 |
Avg per match | 10 | 2 |
1st in | 33/51 | 56/98 |
%1st in | 65% | 57% |
1st pts | 29/33 | 43/56 |
%1st pts | 88% | 77% |
2nd pts | 10/18 | 23/42 |
%2nd pts | 56% | 55% |
Sabalenka struck 10 aces . Badosa blasted 4 aces (2 per match). Sabalenka won 88% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sabalenka | Badosa |
---|---|---|
Won | 3 | 10 |
Converted | 3/8 | 10/18 |
% Converted | 38% | 56% |
Conceded | 0 | 7 |
Saved | 0 | 6 |
% Saved | 0% | 86% |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Sabalenka broke her opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Belarussian was rock solid on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Paula broke her opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded.
Sabalenka | |||
R2 Krejcikova |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
pts | 66-45 | 66-45 | |
Total points | 111 | 111 | |
Winners | 29 | 29 | |
%Winners | 44% | 44% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 10 | 10 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 33/51 | 33/51 | |
% 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
1st pts | 29/33 | 29/33 | |
% 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/18 | |
% 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
Saved % | – | 0% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Badosa | ||||
R1 Kasatkina |
R2 Bucsa |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 14 | 15 | 29 | |
pts | 62-36 | 61-38 | 123-74 | |
Total points | 98 | 99 | 197 | |
Winners | 24 | 19 | 43 | |
%Winners | 39% | 31% | 35% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 32/47 | 24/51 | 56/98 | |
% 1st in | 68% | 47% | 57% | |
1st pts | 24/32 | 19/24 | 43/56 | |
% 1st pts | 75% | 79% | 77% | |
2nd pts | 8/15 | 15/27 | 23/42 | |
% 2nd pts | 53% | 56% | 55% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | 10/18 | |
Converted % | 56% | 56% | 56% | |
Conceded | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
Saved | 1/1 | 5/6 | 6 | |
Saved % | 100% | 83% | 183% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Desirae Krawczyk/Demi SchuursKrawczyk/Demi Schuurs – Tereza Mihalikova/Alycia ParksMihalikova/Alycia Parks (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Veronika Kudermetova/Anastasia PotapovaKudermetova/Anastasia Potapova – Miyu Kato/Aldila SutjiadiKato/Aldila Sutjiadi (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc SieberSieber – Wilson LeiteLeite (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bogdan BobrovBobrov – Dante GennaroGennaro (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Javier MartiMarti – Timur KiuamovKiuamov (6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Renta TokudaTokuda – Luca GelhardtGelhardt (6-4 6-76 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Caroline GarciaGarcia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-1) – H2H and prediction