Elias Ymer and Francesco Maestrelli will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Srpska Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elias Ymer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elias Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Elias Ymer -> 1.5
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.46
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Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Francesco Maestrelli
There is no head to head record between Elias Ymer and Francesco Maestrelli since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-18 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 1-4 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 140, Elias reached the qualifications after beating Nerman Fatic 2-6 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications against Fatic, The Swede recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Ymer and Fatic scored the same amount of points (81). However, the world no. 140 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Elias was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ymer managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Elias Ymer lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 61% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (13/31) on the 2nd serve. Ymer broke Fatic 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Ymer has winning record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (321-254). 7-2 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ymer has an overall 194-119 record in the last years on clay.
Ymer has a composed 15-13 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Banja Luka
Elias has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Maestrelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-21 | 5-5 | 14-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 174, Francesco got to the qualifications after defeating Arthur Fils 6-73 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications against Fils, Francesco recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-3 6-4). During the match Maestrelli scored 117 points vs Fils’s 114. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 56 winners.
About the serving games, Maestrelli struck 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 65% of his first serves in, winning 72% (56/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (17/42) on the 2nd serve. Maestrelli broke Fils 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.
The Italian has a composed 11-11 win-loss record in 2023, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ymer | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 |
| Pts | 81-81 | 117-114 |
| Total Points | 162 | 231 |
| Winners | 33 | 56 |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% |
Both Ymer and Maestrelli played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Elias Ymer lost 1 set, while Francesco Maestrelli conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ymer and Maestrelli have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Ymer played 6 games less than Maestrelli. The Swede scored 33 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian recorded 56 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ymer | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 6 |
| 1st in | 49/80 | 78/120 |
| %1st in | 61% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 33/49 | 56/78 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 13/31 | 17/42 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 40% |
Ymer bagged 4 aces . Maestrelli bagged 6 aces . Ymer won 67% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ymer | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/14 |
| % Converted | 56% | 29% |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Saved | 4 | 10 |
| % Saved | 50% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Ymer broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Swede lost his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ymer | |||
| Q1 Fatic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 81-81 | 81-81 | |
| Total points | 162 | 162 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 49/80 | 49/80 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 33/49 | 33/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/31 | 13/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Maestrelli | |||
| Q1 Fils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 117-114 | 117-114 | |
| Total points | 231 | 231 | |
| Winners | 56 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 78/120 | 78/120 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 56/78 | 56/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/42 | 17/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 40% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 4/14 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLLWWW
LLLLWLWWLW 
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