Aslan Karatsev and Louis Wessels will play each other in the qualifications of the BMW Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.21
Louis Wessels -> 4.05
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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Louis Wessels
There is no head to head record between Aslan Karatsev and Louis Wessels since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-15 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 7-4 | 17-2 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 126, the Russian got to the qualifications after defeating Robin Haase 6-2 3-6 6-0.
In the qualifications, Aslan defeated Haase (6-2 3-6 6-0). During the match, Karatsev scored 89 points vs Haase’s 65. Karatsev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Karatsev made 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was very effective on serve to win 88% (35/40) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Karatsev broke Haase 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Karatsev has positive record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (308-216). 1-2 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karatsev has a composed 102-77 record in the last years on clay.
The Russian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Pune.
Aslan has an aggregate 6-7 win-loss record in 2023, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Munich
Karatsev has never competed in this tournament before.
Louis Wessels
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-26 | 6-3 | 20-19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| 2023 | 37-36 | 4-4 | 26-18 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| 2022 | 46-34 | 7-4 | 39-27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 32-19 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 285, Wessels got to the qualifications after defeating Daniel Masur 6-3 3-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, The German defeated Masur (6-3 3-6 6-3). During the match Wessels scored 95 points vs Masur’s 87. The German was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Wessels managed to score 4 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Louis Wessels lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Wessels put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the 2nd serve. Louis broke Masur 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Wessels has an aggregate 4-11 win-loss record in 2023, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karatsev | Wessels |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 27 |
| Pts | 89-65 | 95-87 |
| Total Points | 154 | 182 |
| Winners | 35 | 40 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Both Karatsev and Wessels played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Aslan Karatsev dropped 1 set, while Louis Wessels conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Karatsev and Wessels have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Karatsev played 4 games less than Wessels. Karatsev scored 35 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The German bagged 40 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karatsev | Wessels |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 4 |
| 1st in | 40/63 | 58/96 |
| %1st in | 63% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 35/40 | 40/58 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 22/38 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 58% |
Karatsev made 7 aces . Wessels managed to score 4 aces . Karatsev won 88% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Wessels won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karatsev | Wessels |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/16 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 31% | 43% |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 80% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Aslan broke his opponent 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Karatsev lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Louis broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Louis conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Karatsev | |||
| Q1 Haase |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 89-65 | 89-65 | |
| Total points | 154 | 154 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 40/63 | 40/63 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 35/40 | 35/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Wessels | |||
| Q1 Masur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 95-87 | 95-87 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 58/96 | 58/96 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 40/58 | 40/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/38 | 22/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLWWLW
LLWLWWWLWW 
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