Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune will face off in the quarter of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.67
Holger Rune -> 2.21
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Holger Rune
There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Holger Rune since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-20 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Daniil reached the quarter after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 6-3 6-2 and Alexander Zverev 3-6 7-5 7-67.
In the 3rd round against Zverev, Daniil recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 7-67). During the match, Medvedev scored 112 points vs Zverev’s 106. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev bagged 3 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 6 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 54% of his first serves in, winning 71% (40/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (19/47) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Zverev 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (454-181). 2-0 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an aggregate 69-40 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3.
Daniil has an aggregate 31-3 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-23 | 21-11 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Rune reached the quarter after beating Dominic Thiem 6-2 6-4 and Matteo Berrettini w/o.
In the 3rd round, The Dane defeated Berrettini (w/o). During the match Rune and Berrettini scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 5 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Dane was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Rune wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Holger Rune conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Holger’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Montpellier and Acapulco.
Holger has an overall 15-7 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 18 |
| Pts | 178-151 | 64-50 |
| Total Points | 329 | 114 |
| Winners | 67 | 28 |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% |
Medvedev played 2 matches while Rune competed in 1 match. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev lost 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 3 sets more than Rune (5 vs 2). Therefore, Medvedev played 33 games more than Rune. Daniil scored 67 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Rune recorded 28 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 0 |
| 1st in | 86/156 | 35/56 |
| %1st in | 55% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 67/86 | 28/35 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 30/70 | 11/21 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 52% |
Medvedev made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Rune didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Medvedev won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 3 |
| Converted | 9/22 | 3/9 |
| % Converted | 41% | 33% |
| Conceded | 12 | 2 |
| Saved | 6 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 0 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Medvedev conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Holger broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Dane was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R2 Sonego |
R3 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 3-6 7-5 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 34 | 51 | |
| pts | 66-45 | 112-106 | 178-151 | |
| Total points | 111 | 218 | 329 | |
| Winners | 27 | 40 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 30/53 | 56/103 | 86/156 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 54% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 27/30 | 40/56 | 67/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 71% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 19/47 | 30/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 40% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 6/13 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 46% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 11 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 5/11 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 45% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Rune | ||||
| R2 Thiem |
R3 Berrettini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | – | 18 | |
| pts | 64-50 | – | 64-50 | |
| Total points | 114 | – | 114 | |
| Winners | 28 | – | 28 | |
| %Winners | 44% | – | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | – | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | – | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | – | 35/56 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | – | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | – | 28/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | – | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | – | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | – | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | – | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | – | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | – | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | – | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | – | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLLWWWLWW
LWWWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (w/o) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 7-66 6-1) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Casper RuudRuud (6-1 7-66) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-6 7-5 7-67) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (4-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
