Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti will square off in the quarter of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:30 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.34
Lorenzo Musetti -> 3.26
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 2nd time that Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sinner won 7-5 6-2 in the 2nd round in Antwerp back in 2021.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Lorenzo Musetti – Antwerp 20-October-2021
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 73-6 | 40-3 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), the Italian got to the quarter after defeating Diego Schwartzman 6-0 3-1 ret. and Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 7-66 6-1.
In the 3rd round against Hurkacz, Sinner recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-66 6-1). During the match, Sinner scored 108 points vs Hurkacz’s 96. Jannik was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner made 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite effective on serve to win 75% (39/52) of his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Jannik broke Hurkacz 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Sinner has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 69% of his matches (232-103). 2-0 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has an aggregate68-33 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Montpellier where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3.
Jannik has a composed 23-5 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Lorenzo reached the quarter after beating Miomir Kecmanovic 7-61 6-0, Luca Nardi 6-0 6-0 and Novak Djokovic 4-6 7-5 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Djokovic, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-4). During the match Musetti scored 101 points vs Djokovic’s 96. Lorenzo was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Musetti bagged 6 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 7 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 56% of his first serves in, winning 57% (33/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (23/45) on the 2nd serve. Musetti broke Djokovic 8 times after converting 57% of his break points (8/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lorenzo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Australia.
Musetti has an overall 9-8 win-loss record in 2023, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 63 |
| Pts | 148-107 | 223-158 |
| Total Points | 255 | 381 |
| Winners | 49 | 81 |
| %Winners | 33% | 36% |
Sinner played 2 matches while Musetti competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner surrendered 1 set, while Lorenzo Musetti lost 1 set. Sinner has played 1 set(s) less than Musetti (6 vs 7). Therefore, Sinner played 24 games less than Musetti. Sinner scored 49 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 81 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 64/114 | 116/195 |
| %1st in | 56% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 49/64 | 81/116 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 31/50 | 44/79 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 56% |
Sinner fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Musetti managed to score 13 aces (4.3 per match). Sinner won 77% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 17 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 17/24 |
| % Converted | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded | 8 | 16 |
| Saved | 6 | 9 |
| % Saved | 75% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
Jannik broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 17 times with a 71% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||
| R2 Schwartzman |
R3 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 3-1 ret. | 3-6 7-66 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 29 | 39 | |
| pts | 40-11 | 108-96 | 148-107 | |
| Total points | 51 | 204 | 255 | |
| Winners | 10 | 39 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 25% | 36% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 12/25 | 52/89 | 64/114 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 58% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 10/12 | 39/52 | 49/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 75% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 21/37 | 31/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 57% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/12 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 33% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Musetti | |||||
| R1 Kecmanovic |
R2 Nardi |
R3 Djokovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-0 | 6-0 6-0 | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 12 | 32 | 63 | |
| pts | 70-43 | 52-19 | 101-96 | 223-158 | |
| Total points | 113 | 71 | 197 | 381 | |
| Winners | 30 | 18 | 33 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/59 | 21/33 | 58/103 | 116/195 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 64% | 56% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 18/21 | 33/58 | 81/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 86% | 57% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 7/12 | 23/45 | 44/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 58% | 51% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 6/7 | 8/14 | 17/24 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 86% | 57% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/1 | 6/13 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 46% | 123% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Andrey RublevRublev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Casper RuudRuud (6-1 7-66) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-6 7-66 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-6 7-5 7-67) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (w/o) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (4-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
