Holger Rune and Matteo Berrettini will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on COURT DES PRINCES. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.5
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 3rd time that Holger Rune and Matteo Berrettini clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Rune and Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rune won 6-0 1-0 ret. in the quarter in Acapulco back in March 2023.
Highlights Holger Rune vs Matteo Berrettini – Acapulco 02-March-2023
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 5-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Holger reached the 3rd round after defeating Dominic Thiem 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Rune had a good straight sets win against Thiem (6-2 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 64 points vs Thiem’s 50. Holger was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rune couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Holger Rune was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (28/35) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Holger broke Thiem 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Rune has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (177-89). 1-0 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has a compiled96-45 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
Rune’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Montpellier and Acapulco.
Rune has an overall 15-7 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-3 | 4-2 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Berrettini got to the 3rd round after defeating Maxime Cressy 6-4 6-2 and Francisco Cerundolo 5-7 7-61 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Cerundolo, Matteo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-61 6-4). During the match Berrettini scored 114 points vs Cerundolo’s 106. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Berrettini struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (48/61) of his 1st serve and 51% (20/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Berrettini broke Cerundolo 3 times after converting 19% of his break points (3/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Matteo’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Australia.
Berrettini has an aggregate 9-7 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 53 |
| Pts | 64-50 | 182-156 |
| Total Points | 114 | 338 |
| Winners | 28 | 79 |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% |
Rune played 1 match while Berrettini competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini dropped 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t lost a set so far. Rune has played 3 set(s) less than Berrettini (2 vs 5). Therefore, Rune played 35 games less than Berrettini. The Dane scored 28 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian fired 79 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 3 |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 103/153 |
| %1st in | 63% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 79/103 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 27/50 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 54% |
Rune didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Berrettini blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Rune won 80% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 6/24 |
| % Converted | 33% | 25% |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Rune broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Rune very solid his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. Matteo broke his opponents 6 times with a 25% conversion rate. Matteo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | |||
| R2 Thiem |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 64-50 | 64-50 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 35/56 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 28/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Berrettini | ||||
| R1 Cressy |
R2 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 5-7 7-61 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 35 | 53 | |
| pts | 68-50 | 114-106 | 182-156 | |
| Total points | 118 | 220 | 338 | |
| Winners | 31 | 48 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 42/53 | 61/100 | 103/153 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 61% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 48/61 | 79/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 20/39 | 27/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 51% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/16 | 6/24 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 19% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 25% | 125% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWWLL
LWWWWWLLWW Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Luca NardiNardi (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev (6-75 6-3 14-12) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (7-610 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-0 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (5-7 7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-5 7-61) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Benjamin BonziBonzi (4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 6-73 7-5) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry Fritz/Holger RuneHarry Fritz/Holger Rune – Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (4-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Ivan GakhovGakhov (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Fabrice Martin/Andreas MiesMartin/Andreas Mies – Diego Sebastian Schwartzman/Jannik SinnerSebastian Schwartzman/Jannik Sinner (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Casper RuudRuud (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (7-6) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
