Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Mateus Alves will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Sarasota Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on COURT 7. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.26
Mateus Alves -> 3.58
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Mateus Alves
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Mateus Alves since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-29 | 5-9 | 27-14 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 131, Camilo will start his run in the Sarasota Challenger after he played his last match in Miami where he lost 6-3 5-3 ret. to Misolic in the qualifications on the 20th of March.
Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate 14-10 win-loss record in 2023, 14-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Camilo’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Piracicaba Challenger.
Talking about his overall career, Ugo Carabelli has an overall 261-152 record. He has a positive 234-129 record on clay.
Previously in the Sarasota Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Mateus Alves
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-27 | 1-4 | 27-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-31 | 3-5 | 43-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-28 | 4-7 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-15 | 5-1 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-33 | 21-20 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 595, the Brazilian reached the 1st round after defeating Matija Pecotic 6-3 7-5 and Calvin Hemery 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Mateus had a good straight sets win against Hemery (6-3 6-2). During the match Alves scored 64 points vs Hemery’s 44. Alves was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Alves wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Mateus Alves was very effective on serve to win 75% (27/36) of his 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brazilian broke Hemery 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mateus started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
The Brazilian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Mosquera.
Alves has an overall 10-5 win-loss record in 2023, 10-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Tennis Scores in Sarasota Challenger
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Denis KudlaKudla (5-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (3-6 6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Toby Alex KodatAlex Kodat – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (6-3 1-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Juncheng ShangShang (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yuki Bhambri/Saketh-Sai MyneniBhambri/Saketh-Sai Myneni – Martin Damm/Toby Alex KodatDamm/Toby Alex Kodat (3-6 6-4 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas MachacMachac – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Christian HarrisonHarrison (6-4 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Tung-Lin WuWu (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Emilio GomezGomez (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Seong Chan HongChan Hong – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Dmitry PopkoPopko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex RybakovRybakov – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Luca PotenzaPotenza (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mateus De Carvalho CardosoDe Carvalho Cardoso – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – Jack SockSock (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (1-0) – H2H and prediction