Alex De Minaur and Jan-Lennard Struff will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.64
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Jan-Lennard Struff

This will be the 4th time that Alex De Minaur and Jan-Lennard Struff face off. The head to head is 2-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Struff won 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2020.

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 19, the Australian got to the 2nd round after defeating Andy Murray 6-1 6-3.

In the 1st round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Murray (6-1 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 56 points vs Murray’s 35. Alex was pretty aggressive to blast 12 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur scored just 1 ace and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Alex De Minaur was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (12/15) of his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Murray 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (285-167). 1-0 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has an aggregate52-41 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Acapulco where he defeated Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.

The Australian has a composed 13-6 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
De Minaur's Record

Jan-Lennard Struff

Jan-Lennard Struff

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
84
High
21
LLWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-30 7-11 5-8 12-8 3-3 0-0
2024 30-21 4-8 15-5 5-6 6-2 0-0
2023 45-24 21-9 14-7 5-6 5-2 0-0
2022 23-22 3-10 7-4 12-4 1-4 0-0
2021 26-30 8-11 11-8 6-8 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 100, the German got to the 2nd round after beating Juan Pablo Varillas 7-5 6-2, Emil Ruusuvuori 7-64 5-7 6-0 and Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-4 6-3.

In the 1st round, Struff had a good straight sets win against Ramos-Vinolas (6-4 6-3). During the match Struff scored 66 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s 51. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Struff struck 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jan-Lennard Struff was quite effective on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Struff broke Ramos-Vinolas 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Struff’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger,the Manama Challenger and the Phoenix Challenger.

Jan-Lennard has an overall 25-9 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2017 and 2018. See his history.

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Struff's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.De Minaur
J.Struff
1h:26
1h:26
Time on court​
!
5h:29
5h:29
1h:26
1h:26
Last match​
1h:28
1h:28
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
16
16
Games Played​
70
70
2
2
Set played​​
7
7
56
56
Total points​
232
232
56
56
Avg point​
77.3
77.3
12
12
Winners
84
84
12
12
Avg Winners​
28
28
21%
21%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
18
18
1
1
Avg Aces
6
6
0
0
Double Faults
11
11
0
0
Avg Double Faults
3.7
3.7
12/15
12/15
1st won total​
84/120
84/120
!
80%
80%
1st won %
70%
70%
20/28
20/28
2nd won total​
59/106
59/106
!
71%
71%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
4/6
4/6
BP won
14/22
14/22
4/6
4/6
Avg BP won
4.7/7.3
4.7/7.3
!
67%
67%
Won
!
64%
64%
0
0
Conceded
16
16
0
0
Avg Conceded
5.3
5.3
0
0
Broken
7
7
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
0
0
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Minaur Struff
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 7
Tot Games 16 70
Pts 56-35 232-200
Total Points 91 432
Winners 12 84
%Winners 21% 36%

De Minaur played 1 match while Struff competed in 3 matches. Struff started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jan-Lennard Struff surrendered 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t lost a set so far. De Minaur has played 5 set(s) less than Struff (2 vs 7). Therefore, De Minaur played 54 games less than Struff. The Australian scored 12 winners (21% of the total points). On the other side, Jan-Lennard bagged 84 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Minaur Struff
Aces 1 18
Avg per match 1 6
1st in 15/43 120/226
%1st in 35% 53%
1st pts 12/15 84/120
%1st pts 80% 70%
2nd pts 20/28 59/106
%2nd pts 71% 56%

De Minaur made 1 ace . Struff also recorded 18 aces (6 per match). De Minaur won 80% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Struff won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Minaur Struff
Won 4 14
Converted 4/6 14/22
% Converted 67% 64%
Conceded 0 16
Saved 0 9
% Saved 0% 56%
Times Broken 0 7

Alex broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Alex had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. The German broke his opponents 14 times with a 64% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
R1
Murray
Total
Score 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 56-35 56-35
Total points 91 91
Winners 12 12
%Winners 21% 21%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 15/43 15/43
% 1st in 35% 35%
1st pts 12/15 12/15
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 20/28 20/28
% 2nd pts 71% 71%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Struff
Q1
Pablo Patino-Samudio
Q3
Ruusuvuori
R1
Ramos-Vinolas
Total
Score 7-5 6-2 7-64 5-7 6-0 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 20 31 19 70
pts 64-50 102-99 66-51 232-200
Total points 114 201 117 432
Winners 24 30 30 84
%Winners 38% 29% 45% 36%
SERVE
Aces 6 5 7 18
Double Faults 2 6 3 11
1st in 32/58 50/106 38/62 120/226
% 1st in 55% 47% 61% 53%
1st pts 24/32 30/50 30/38 84/120
% 1st pts 75% 60% 79% 70%
2nd pts 15/26 31/56 13/24 59/106
% 2nd pts 58% 55% 54% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 7 3 14
Converted 4/6 7/11 3/5 14/22
Converted % 67% 64% 60% 64%
Conceded 1 10 5 16
Saved 0/1 5/10 4/5 9
Saved % 0% 50% 80% 130%
Times Broken 1 5 1 7

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

Upcoming matches in the draw