Lorenzo Musetti and Luca Nardi will face off in the 2nd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.222
Luca Nardi -> 4.3

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Luca Nardi

This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Luca Nardi square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Nardi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Nardi won 4-6 7-6(2) 6-3 in the 1st round in M25 Santa Margherita Di Pula back in 2019.

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 21, Musetti reached the 2nd round after beating Miomir Kecmanovic 7-61 6-0.

In the 1st round, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (7-61 6-0). During the match, Musetti scored 70 points vs Kecmanovic’s 43. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Musetti struck 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Kecmanovic 3 times.

Musetti has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (149-110). 3-4 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a compiled88-49 match record in the last 6 years on clay.

The Italian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Australia.

Lorenzo has an aggregate 7-8 win-loss record in 2023, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Musetti's Record

Luca Nardi

Luca Nardi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
107
High
67
LWWLLLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-30 14-13 8-9 8-6 0-2 0-0
2024 32-27 14-14 8-5 9-4 1-4 0-0
2023 41-36 20-10 8-13 12-12 1-1 0-0
2022 33-20 5-2 11-10 17-8 0-0 0-0
2021 33-24 3-3 26-13 4-8 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 159, Nardi got to the 2nd round after defeating Constant Lestienne 6-3 6-76 6-2, Oscar Otte 6-75 6-3 7-64 and Valentin Vacherot 7-5 7-5.

In the 1st round, Luca had a good straight sets win against Vacherot (7-5 7-5). During the match Nardi scored 83 points vs Vacherot’s 74. Nardi was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Nardi scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Luca Nardi lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 61% of his first serves in, winning 66% (29/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Vacherot 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).

Luca’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Pune Challenger.

Luca has a composed 12-11 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Luca has never competed in this tournament before.

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Nardi's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

L.Musetti
L.Nardi
1h:29
1h:29
Time on court​
!
7h:08
7h:08
1h:29
1h:29
Last match​
1h:50
1h:50
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
19
19
Games Played​
89
89
2
2
Set played​​
8
8
70
70
Total points​
317
317
70
70
Avg point​
105.7
105.7
30
30
Winners
112
112
30
30
Avg Winners​
37.3
37.3
43%
43%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
3
3
6
6
Avg Aces
1
1
2
2
Double Faults
9
9
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3
3
30/37
30/37
1st won total​
112/181
112/181
!
81%
81%
1st won %
62%
62%
14/22
14/22
2nd won total​
71/123
71/123
!
64%
64%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
3/3
3/3
BP won
17/36
17/36
3/3
3/3
Avg BP won
5.7/12
5.7/12
!
100%
100%
Won
47%
47%
2
2
Conceded
28
28
2
2
Avg Conceded
9.3
9.3
0
0
Broken
11
11
!
0
0
Avg Broken
3.7
3.7
2
2
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Musetti Nardi
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 8
Tot Games 19 89
Pts 70-43 317-280
Total Points 113 597
Winners 30 112
%Winners 43% 35%

Musetti played 1 match while Nardi competed in 3 matches. Nardi started his run from the qualifications while Musetti had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Luca Nardi surrendered 2 sets while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t dropped a set so far. Musetti has played 6 set(s) less than Nardi (2 vs 8). Therefore, Musetti played 70 games less than Nardi. The Italian scored 30 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Luca fired 112 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Musetti Nardi
Aces 6 3
Avg per match 6 1
1st in 37/59 181/304
%1st in 63% 60%
1st pts 30/37 112/181
%1st pts 81% 62%
2nd pts 14/22 71/123
%2nd pts 64% 58%

Musetti blasted 6 aces . Nardi made 3 aces (1 per match). Musetti won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Nardi won 62% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Musetti Nardi
Won 3 17
Converted 3/3 17/36
% Converted 100% 47%
Conceded 2 28
Saved 2 17
% Saved 100% 61%
Times Broken 0 11

The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Musetti quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Luca broke his opponents 17 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
R1
Kecmanovic
Total
Score 7-61 6-0
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 70-43 70-43
Total points 113 113
Winners 30 30
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 37/59 37/59
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 30/37 30/37
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 14/22 14/22
% 2nd pts 64% 64%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/3 3/3
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Nardi
Q1
Lestienne
Q3
Otte
R1
Vacherot
Total
Score 6-3 6-76 6-2 6-75 6-3 7-64 7-5 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 30 35 24 89
pts 109-92 125-114 83-74 317-280
Total points 201 239 157 597
Winners 38 45 29 112
%Winners 35% 36% 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 1 3
Double Faults 4 4 1 9
1st in 59/105 78/127 44/72 181/304
% 1st in 56% 61% 61% 60%
1st pts 38/59 45/78 29/44 112/181
% 1st pts 64% 58% 66% 62%
2nd pts 25/46 29/49 17/28 71/123
% 2nd pts 54% 59% 61% 58%
Breaks
Won 7 6 4 17
Converted 7/11 6/11 4/14 17/36
Converted % 64% 55% 29% 47%
Conceded 11 13 4 28
Saved 7/11 8/13 2/4 17
Saved % 64% 62% 50% 176%
Times Broken 4 5 2 11

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

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