Guido Andreozzi and Luca Potenza will face off in the qualifications of the Sarasota Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:30 pm on COURT 8. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Guido Andreozzi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Guido Andreozzi is the pick to win this match.
Guido Andreozzi -> 1.25
Luca Potenza -> 3.65
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Prediction and head to head Guido Andreozzi vs. Luca Potenza
There is no head to head record between Guido Andreozzi and Luca Potenza since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Guido Andreozzi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-6 | 24-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-4 | 7-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-23 | 1-4 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 306, Guido got to the qualifications after beating Ryan Harrison 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Andreozzi had a good straight sets win against Harrison (6-3 6-3). During the match, Andreozzi scored 71 points vs Harrison’s 51. Andreozzi was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Andreozzi recorded 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Guido Andreozzi lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Andreozzi put 70% of his first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the 2nd serve. Guido broke Harrison 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Andreozzi has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (242-190). 3-2 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Andreozzi has an overall 191-141 match record in the last years on clay.
Guido has a composed 10-5 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sarasota Challenger
Luca Potenza
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-18 | 32-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-17 | 14-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-28 | 6-9 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-26 | 10-9 | 13-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-25 | 27-13 | 6-7 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 521, Luca got to the qualifications after beating Strong Kirchheimer 7-66 6-3.
In the qualifications, Luca had a good straight sets win against Kirchheimer (7-66 6-3). During the match Potenza scored 80 points vs Kirchheimer’s 68. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Potenza recorded 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Luca Potenza lost the serve once and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Potenza put 64% of his first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the 2nd serve. Potenza was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Kirchheimer twice.
Potenza has an aggregate 5-7 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Andreozzi | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 |
| Pts | 71-51 | 80-68 |
| Total Points | 122 | 148 |
| Winners | 24 | 38 |
| %Winners | 34% | 48% |
Both Andreozzi and Potenza played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Andreozzi and Potenza have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Andreozzi played 4 games less than Potenza. Guido scored 24 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Potenza bagged 38 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Andreozzi | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 37/53 | 54/84 |
| %1st in | 70% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 24/37 | 38/54 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 17/30 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 57% |
Andreozzi managed to score 3 aces . Potenza bagged 4 aces . Andreozzi won 65% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Potenza won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Andreozzi | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 2 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 2/2 |
| % Converted | 56% | 100% |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 90% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Andreozzi broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Guido dropped his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Luca broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.
| Andreozzi | |||
| Q1 Harrison |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 71-51 | 71-51 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 37/53 | 37/53 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 24/37 | 24/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 10/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Potenza | |||
| Q1 Kirchheimer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 80-68 | 80-68 | |
| Total points | 148 | 148 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 54/84 | 54/84 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 38/54 | 38/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 17/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
W
LWWWWLWLWW 
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