Ilya Ivashka and Taro Daniel will square off in the qualifications of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on COURT 9. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taro Daniel who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Taro Daniel is the pick to win this match.
Taro Daniel -> 1.65
Ilya Ivashka -> 2.14

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Prediction and head to head Ilya Ivashka vs. Taro Daniel

There is no head to head record between Ilya Ivashka and Taro Daniel since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Ilya Ivashka

Ilya Ivashka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
777
High
40
LLWWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-10 13-9 0-0 0-0 1-1 0-0
2024 0-2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 12-24 5-12 5-7 0-1 2-4 0-0
2022 23-24 8-6 5-7 6-8 4-3 0-0
2021 43-20 14-6 13-5 6-4 10-5 0-0

Ranked no. 75, Ivashka got to the qualifications after defeating Hugo Gaston 6-4 6-4.

In the qualifications, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Gaston (6-4 6-4). During the match, Ivashka scored 74 points vs Gaston’s 67. Ivashka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ivashka wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Ilya Ivashka lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ivashka put 54% of his first serves in, winning 61% (23/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. Ivashka broke Gaston 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Ivashka has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (318-209). 1-0 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ivashka has a compiled 39-34 record in the last years on clay.

Ilya has an aggregate 4-7 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Ivashka's Record

Taro Daniel

Taro Daniel

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
381
High
58
LLWLLLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-31 10-19 1-8 0-3 1-1 0-0
2024 31-33 16-16 5-11 9-3 1-3 0-0
2023 45-30 34-16 7-10 2-1 2-3 0-0
2022 43-29 27-17 12-7 2-2 2-3 0-0
2021 30-25 5-7 21-15 4-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 98, Daniel got to the qualifications after beating Otto Virtanen 6-1 6-4.

In the qualifications, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Virtanen (6-1 6-4). During the match Daniel scored 67 points vs Virtanen’s 49. Daniel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Daniel managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Taro Daniel conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Daniel put 61% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Virtanen 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

The Japanese has an overall 15-8 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016. See his history.

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Daniel's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

I.Ivashka
T.Daniel
1h:41
1h:41
Time on court​
1h:17
1h:17
1h:41
1h:41
Last match​
1h:17
1h:17
1
1
Match played
1
1
20
20
Games Played​
17
17
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
74
74
Total points​
67
67
74
74
Avg point​
67
67
23
23
Winners
26
26
23
23
Avg Winners​
26
26
31%
31%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
2
2
0
0
Avg Aces
2
2
3
3
Double Faults
1
1
3
3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
23/38
23/38
1st won total​
26/37
26/37
61%
61%
1st won %
70%
70%
15/33
15/33
2nd won total​
16/24
16/24
45%
45%
2nd won %
!
67%
67%
-- Break Points --
6/12
6/12
BP won
3/6
3/6
6/12
6/12
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
50%
50%
Won
50%
50%
7
7
Conceded
3
3
7
7
Avg Conceded
3
3
4
4
Broken
0
0
4
4
Avg Broken
!
0
0
3
3
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ivashka Daniel
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 17
Pts 74-67 67-49
Total Points 141 116
Winners 23 26
%Winners 31% 39%

Both Ivashka and Daniel played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ivashka and Daniel have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Ivashka played 3 games more than Daniel. Ilya scored 23 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Taro struck 26 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ivashka Daniel
Aces 0 2
Avg per match 0 2
1st in 38/71 37/61
%1st in 54% 61%
1st pts 23/38 26/37
%1st pts 61% 70%
2nd pts 15/33 16/24
%2nd pts 45% 67%

Ivashka didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Daniel bagged 2 aces . Ivashka won 61% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Daniel won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ivashka Daniel
Won 6 3
Converted 6/12 3/6
% Converted 50% 50%
Conceded 7 3
Saved 3 3
% Saved 43% 100%
Times Broken 4 0

Ilya broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Belarussian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Taro broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Daniel was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.

Ivashka
Q1
Gaston
Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 74-67 74-67
Total points 141 141
Winners 23 23
%Winners 31% 31%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 38/71 38/71
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 23/38 23/38
% 1st pts 61% 61%
2nd pts 15/33 15/33
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/12 6/12
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 3/7 3
Saved % 43% 43%
Times Broken 4 4
Daniel
Q1
Virtanen
Total
Score 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 67-49 67-49
Total points 116 116
Winners 26 26
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 37/61 37/61
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 26/37 26/37
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 16/24 16/24
% 2nd pts 67% 67%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

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