Roberto Carballes Baena and Alexandre Muller will face off in the final of the Grand Prix Hassan II for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roberto Carballes Baena who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roberto Carballes Baena is the pick to win this match.
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 1.77
Alexandre Muller -> 2.05
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Alexandre Muller
This will be the 2nd time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Alexandre Muller play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Carballes Baena won 6-4 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2019.
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-23 | 5-8 | 19-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-18 | 3-4 | 16-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 82, Roberto reached the final after beating Maxime Cressy 6-74 6-3 6-1, Dimitar Kuzmanov 2-0 ret., Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 2-6 6-2 and Daniel Evans 2-6 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal against Evans, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Carballes Baena scored 88 points vs Evans’s 84. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carballes Baena scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 72% of his first serves in, winning 61% (34/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the 2nd serve. Carballes Baena broke Evans 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has surrendered 3 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Carballes Baena has winning record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (380-282). 6-4 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Carballes Baena has an overall 340-216 record in the last years on clay.
The Spaniard’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Marrakech.
Carballes Baena has a composed 8-9 win-loss record in 2023, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marrakech
Alexandre Muller
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-25 | 9-11 | 20-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-33 | 20-13 | 18-12 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-31 | 6-6 | 27-20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 6-7 | 16-15 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-13 | 3-2 | 15-9 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 126 (career-high), Muller reached the final after defeating Richard Gasquet 6-4 6-4, Francesco Passaro 6-4 6-4, Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 1-6 6-4 and Pavel Kotov 7-63 7-5.
In the semifinal, Alexandre had a good straight sets win against Kotov (7-63 7-5). During the match Muller scored 76 points vs Kotov’s 71. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Muller scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexandre Muller lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Muller put 63% of his first serves in, winning 65% (34/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the 2nd serve. Alexandre broke Kotov 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexandre has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The French player best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Waco Challenger.
The French player has an overall 23-10 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marrakech
Muller has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carballes Baena | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 91 |
| Pts | 279-239 | 289-261 |
| Total Points | 518 | 550 |
| Winners | 113 | 122 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Both Carballes Baena and Muller played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Roberto Carballes Baena conceded 3 sets, while Alexandre Muller surrendered 1 set. Carballes Baena has played 2 sets more than Muller (11 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Carballes Baena played 9 games less than Muller. Carballes Baena scored 113 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The French player recorded 122 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carballes Baena | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 168/248 | 174/277 |
| %1st in | 68% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 113/168 | 122/174 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 44/80 | 54/103 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 52% |
Carballes Baena managed to score 5 aces (1.3 per match). Muller scored 10 aces (2.5 per match). Carballes Baena won 67% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Muller won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carballes Baena | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 14 |
| Converted | 16/37 | 14/29 |
| % Converted | 43% | 48% |
| Conceded | 21 | 19 |
| Saved | 12 | 10 |
| % Saved | 57% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 9 |
Roberto broke his opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 9 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Alexandre broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. Alexandre conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carballes Baena | ||||||
| R1 Cressy |
R2 Kuzmanov |
1/4 Griekspoor |
1/2 Evans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-3 6-1 | 2-0 ret. | 6-3 2-6 6-2 | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 2 | 25 | 26 | 82 | |
| pts | 101-79 | 8-1 | 82-75 | 88-84 | 279-239 | |
| Total points | 180 | 9 | 157 | 172 | 518 | |
| Winners | 47 | 3 | 29 | 34 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 38% | 35% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 62/83 | 3/5 | 47/82 | 56/78 | 168/248 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 60% | 57% | 72% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 47/62 | 3/3 | 29/47 | 34/56 | 113/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 100% | 62% | 61% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 1/2 | 17/35 | 14/22 | 44/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 50% | 49% | 64% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 1/1 | 6/11 | 4/12 | 16/37 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 100% | 55% | 33% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 21 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/0 | 6/11 | 6/9 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 55% | 67% | 31% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 | |
| Muller | ||||||
| R1 Gasquet |
R2 Passaro |
1/4 Musetti |
1/2 Kotov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 1-6 6-4 | 7-63 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 26 | 25 | 91 | |
| pts | 74-61 | 62-54 | 77-75 | 76-71 | 289-261 | |
| Total points | 135 | 116 | 152 | 147 | 550 | |
| Winners | 22 | 31 | 35 | 34 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 50% | 45% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 33/62 | 41/61 | 48/72 | 52/82 | 174/277 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 67% | 67% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 22/33 | 31/41 | 35/48 | 34/52 | 122/174 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 76% | 73% | 65% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 10/20 | 11/24 | 16/30 | 54/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 50% | 46% | 53% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 3/3 | 3/10 | 4/5 | 14/29 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 100% | 30% | 80% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/2 | 3/6 | 5/8 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 50% | 63% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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