Matteo Arnaldi and Mikhail Kukushkin will clash against each other in the quarter of the Murcia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on PISTA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.33
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 3.18
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Mikhail Kukushkin
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Mikhail Kukushkin since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-13 | 10-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 116, Arnaldi got to the quarter after beating Feliciano Lopez 6-3 7-64 and Kimmer Coppejans 3-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Coppejans, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4).During the match, Arnaldi scored less points (8) than Coppejans. In fact, the world no. 116 won 97 points vs Coppejans’s. That means that Arnaldi was more focused during the important points. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arnaldi blasted 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 16 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 69% of his first serves in, winning 61% (50/82) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Coppejans 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (148-93). 2-1 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has a compiled94-49 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2.
The Italian has an overall 12-11 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Arnaldi has never competed in this tournament before.
Mikhail Kukushkin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-13 | 14-3 | 9-6 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-24 | 17-11 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 18-11 | 0-2 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-24 | 8-9 | 0-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 3-2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 319, the Kazakhstani got to the quarter after defeating Gabriel Debru 6-2 6-3 and Alvaro Lopez San Martin 6-1 6-6 ret..
In the 2nd round against Lopez San Martin, Kukushkin had a free pass after Lopez San Martin retired on a 6-1 6-6 . scoreline.
The Kazakhstani has a compiled 4-7 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 36 |
| Pts | 172-164 | 134-100 |
| Total Points | 336 | 234 |
| Winners | 84 | 73 |
| %Winners | 49% | 54% |
Both Arnaldi and Kukushkin played 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Arnaldi conceded 1 set while Mikhail Kukushkin hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Kukushkin have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Arnaldi played 15 games more than Kukushkin. Matteo scored 84 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani scored 73 winners (54%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1 |
| 1st in | 123/186 | 105/132 |
| %1st in | 66% | 80% |
| 1st pts | 84/123 | 73/105 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 34/63 | 10/27 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 37% |
Arnaldi recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Kukushkin struck 2 aces (1 per match). Arnaldi won 68% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kukushkin won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 37% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/17 | 8/10 |
| % Converted | 29% | 80% |
| Conceded | 22 | 10 |
| Saved | 18 | 7 |
| % Saved | 82% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Arnaldi broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 4 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Kukushkin broke his opponents 8 times with a 80% conversion rate. Mikhail conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | ||||
| R1 Lopez |
R2 Coppejans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 29 | 51 | |
| pts | 75-59 | 97-105 | 172-164 | |
| Total points | 134 | 202 | 336 | |
| Winners | 34 | 50 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 52% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 41/67 | 82/119 | 123/186 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/41 | 50/82 | 84/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 61% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 19/37 | 34/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 51% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/10 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 30% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 19 | 22 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 16/19 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 84% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Kukushkin | ||||
| R1 Debru |
R2 Lopez San Martin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-1 6-6 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
| pts | 69-51 | 65-49 | 134-100 | |
| Total points | 120 | 114 | 234 | |
| Winners | 38 | 35 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 54% | 54% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 55/71 | 50/61 | 105/132 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 82% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 38/55 | 35/50 | 73/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/16 | 6/11 | 10/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 25% | 55% | 37% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/4 | 8/10 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 75% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 2/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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