Casper Ruud and Sebastian Baez will fight against each other in the quarter of the Millennium Estoril Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:30 pm on ESTÁDIO MILLENNIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.51
Sebastian Baez -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Sebastian Baez
There is no head to head record between Casper Ruud and Sebastian Baez since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-8 | 6-3 | 13-4 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Casper reached the quarter after defeating Joao Sousa 4-6 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Sousa, Casper recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-2). During the match, Ruud scored 97 points vs Sousa’s 78. Ruud was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ruud bagged 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 71% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Sousa 5 times after converting 28% of his break points (5/18).
Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 65% of his matches (322-176). 1-0 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has an aggregate191-87 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Casper has a compiled 6-6 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Estoril
Ruud has never competed in this tournament before.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-15 | 0-4 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Baez got to the quarter after defeating Radu Albot 7-5 7-63 and Pedro Cachin 6-4 7-62.
In the 2nd round, Baez had a good straight sets win against Cachin (6-4 7-62). During the match Baez scored 85 points vs Cachin’s 75. Baez was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Baez couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 84% of his first serves in, winning 58% (38/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Cachin 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Cordoba where he overcame Federico Coria in the final 6-1 3-6 6-3.
Sebastian has a composed 11-8 win-loss record in 2023, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Estoril
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 48 |
| Pts | 97-78 | 174-148 |
| Total Points | 175 | 322 |
| Winners | 37 | 68 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Ruud played 1 match while Baez competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Casper Ruud dropped 1 set while Sebastian Baez hasn’t lost a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set(s) less than Baez (3 vs 4). Therefore, Ruud played 22 games less than Baez. Ruud scored 37 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian bagged 68 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1 |
| 1st in | 54/76 | 116/159 |
| %1st in | 71% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 37/54 | 68/116 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 28/43 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 65% |
Ruud made 4 aces . Baez scored 2 aces (1 per match). Ruud won 69% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 59% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 10 |
| Converted | 5/18 | 10/16 |
| % Converted | 28% | 63% |
| Conceded | 5 | 21 |
| Saved | 3 | 13 |
| % Saved | 60% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
Casper broke his opponent 5 times with a 28% conversion rate. The Norwegian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||
| R2 Sousa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 97-78 | 97-78 | |
| Total points | 175 | 175 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 54/76 | 54/76 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 37/54 | 37/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 14/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/18 | 5/18 | |
| Converted % | 28% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Baez | ||||
| R1 Albot |
R2 Cachin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-63 | 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 23 | 48 | |
| pts | 89-73 | 85-75 | 174-148 | |
| Total points | 162 | 160 | 322 | |
| Winners | 30 | 38 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 45% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 50/80 | 66/79 | 116/159 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 84% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 30/50 | 38/66 | 68/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 58% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/30 | 8/13 | 28/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 62% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/9 | 10/16 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 56% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 9 | 21 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 5/9 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 56% | 123% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWW
LLLLLLWLLW 
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