Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste will face off in the 2nd round of the Credit One Charleston Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Credit One Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
Madison Keys -> 1.093
Hailey Baptiste -> 7.3
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Hailey Baptiste
This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Baptiste (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Baptiste won 7-6(4) 6-2 in the 1st round in Washington back in 2019.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Emma Navarro 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, Madison had a good straight sets win against Navarro (6-4 6-3). During the match, Keys scored 66 points vs Navarro’s 53. The American was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys bagged 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 75% of her first serves in, winning 71% (30/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Navarro 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (244-142). 1-0 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has an overall 55-33 record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2.
Madison has an aggregate 12-5 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Hailey Baptiste
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-25 | 11-15 | 11-6 | 3-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-27 | 29-16 | 10-8 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-32 | 17-15 | 22-15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-19 | 12-11 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-21 | 8-12 | 7-6 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 275, Baptiste got to the 2nd round after beating Marcela Zacarias 6-2 6-1, Heather Watson 7-5 6-3 and Xiyu Wang 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-3 6-3). During the match Baptiste scored 62 points vs Wang’s 48. The American was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Baptiste struck 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Hailey Baptiste was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (25/33) of her 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Wang 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the W60 Canberra and the W25 Santo Domingo.
Hailey has an overall 12-10 win-loss record in 2023, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 54 |
| Pts | 66-53 | 203-147 |
| Total Points | 119 | 350 |
| Winners | 30 | 79 |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% |
Keys played 1 match while Baptiste competed in 3 matches. Baptiste started her run from the qualifications while Keys had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Keys has played 4 set(s) less than Baptiste (2 vs 6). Therefore, Keys played 35 games less than Baptiste. The American scored 30 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 79 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 42/56 | 100/173 |
| %1st in | 75% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 79/100 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 41/73 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 56% |
Keys struck 7 aces . Baptiste struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Keys won 71% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Baptiste won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Baptiste |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 11 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 11/23 |
| % Converted | 80% | 48% |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 5 |
| % Saved | 80% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Keys dropped her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Baptiste broke her opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Hailey conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||
| R1 Navarro | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 66-53 | 66-53 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 42/56 | 42/56 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 30/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Baptiste | |||||
| Q1 Zacarias | Q3 Watson | R1 Wang | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 21 | 18 | 54 | |
| pts | 58-32 | 83-67 | 62-48 | 203-147 | |
| Total points | 90 | 150 | 110 | 350 | |
| Winners | 24 | 30 | 25 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 28/43 | 39/72 | 33/58 | 100/173 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 54% | 57% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 30/39 | 25/33 | 79/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 77% | 76% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 16/33 | 16/25 | 41/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 48% | 64% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/12 | 3/4 | 11/23 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 33% | 75% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 100% | 250% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Charleston
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Alize CornetCornet (7-64 4-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Sloane StephensStephens (3-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Miljan ZekicZekic – Dejan KaticKatic (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cristian CarliCarli – Duje KekezKekez (6-4 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Djurabeck KarimovKarimov – Ljubomir CelebicCelebic (6-2 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic – Viktor FilipenkoFilipenko (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Domagoj BiljeskoBiljesko – Simone RoncalliRoncalli (6-72 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Manuel Pena LopezPena Lopez – Jonathan MridhaMridha (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Darko BojanovicBojanovic (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Katherine SebovSebov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caty McNallyMcNally – Shelby RogersRogers (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Julia GrabherGrabher – Sachia VickeryVickery (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Madison KeysKeys (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Bernarda PeraPera (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction