Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste will face off in the 2nd round of the Credit One Charleston Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Credit One Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.093
Hailey Baptiste -> 7.3

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Hailey Baptiste

This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Hailey Baptiste play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Baptiste (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Baptiste won 7-6(4) 6-2 in the 1st round in Washington back in 2019.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 22, the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Emma Navarro 6-4 6-3.

In the 1st round, Madison had a good straight sets win against Navarro (6-4 6-3). During the match, Keys scored 66 points vs Navarro’s 53. The American was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Keys bagged 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 75% of her first serves in, winning 71% (30/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Navarro 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (244-142). 1-0 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has an overall 55-33 record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2.

Madison has an aggregate 12-5 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Charleston

Charleston
Keys's Record

Hailey Baptiste

Hailey Baptiste

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
61
High
47
LLLWLLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-25 11-15 11-6 3-1 3-3 0-0
2024 43-27 29-16 10-8 3-1 1-2 0-0
2023 41-32 17-15 22-15 2-2 0-0 0-0
2022 23-19 12-11 11-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 18-21 8-12 7-6 1-2 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 275, Baptiste got to the 2nd round after beating Marcela Zacarias 6-2 6-1, Heather Watson 7-5 6-3 and Xiyu Wang 6-3 6-3.

In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-3 6-3). During the match Baptiste scored 62 points vs Wang’s 48. The American was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Baptiste struck 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Hailey Baptiste was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (25/33) of her 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Wang 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).

The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the W60 Canberra and the W25 Santo Domingo.

Hailey has an overall 12-10 win-loss record in 2023, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Charleston

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2022. See her history.

Charleston
Baptiste's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Keys
H.Baptiste
1h:15
1h:15
Time on court​
!
4h:16
4h:16
1h:15
1h:15
Last match​
1h:27
1h:27
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
19
19
Games Played​
54
54
2
2
Set played​​
6
6
66
66
Total points​
203
203
66
66
Avg point​
67.7
67.7
30
30
Winners
79
79
30
30
Avg Winners​
26.3
26.3
45%
45%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
8
8
7
7
Avg Aces
2.7
2.7
1
1
Double Faults
8
8
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2.7
2.7
30/42
30/42
1st won total​
79/100
79/100
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
7/14
7/14
2nd won total​
41/73
41/73
50%
50%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
4/5
4/5
BP won
11/23
11/23
4/5
4/5
Avg BP won
3.7/7.7
3.7/7.7
!
80%
80%
Won
48%
48%
5
5
Conceded
7
7
5
5
Avg Conceded
2.3
2.3
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
4
4
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Keys Baptiste
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 19 54
Pts 66-53 203-147
Total Points 119 350
Winners 30 79
%Winners 45% 39%

Keys played 1 match while Baptiste competed in 3 matches. Baptiste started her run from the qualifications while Keys had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Keys has played 4 set(s) less than Baptiste (2 vs 6). Therefore, Keys played 35 games less than Baptiste. The American scored 30 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 79 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Keys Baptiste
Aces 7 8
Avg per match 7 2.7
1st in 42/56 100/173
%1st in 75% 58%
1st pts 30/42 79/100
%1st pts 71% 79%
2nd pts 7/14 41/73
%2nd pts 50% 56%

Keys struck 7 aces . Baptiste struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Keys won 71% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Baptiste won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Keys Baptiste
Won 4 11
Converted 4/5 11/23
% Converted 80% 48%
Conceded 5 7
Saved 4 5
% Saved 80% 71%
Times Broken 1 2

The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Keys dropped her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Baptiste broke her opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Hailey conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
R1
Navarro
Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 66-53 66-53
Total points 119 119
Winners 30 30
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 42/56 42/56
% 1st in 75% 75%
1st pts 30/42 30/42
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 7/14 7/14
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/5 4/5
Converted % 80% 80%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1
Baptiste
Q1
Zacarias
Q3
Watson
R1
Wang
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 7-5 6-3 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 15 21 18 54
pts 58-32 83-67 62-48 203-147
Total points 90 150 110 350
Winners 24 30 25 79
%Winners 41% 36% 40% 39%
SERVE
Aces 1 5 2 8
Double Faults 1 3 4 8
1st in 28/43 39/72 33/58 100/173
% 1st in 65% 54% 57% 58%
1st pts 24/28 30/39 25/33 79/100
% 1st pts 86% 77% 76% 79%
2nd pts 9/15 16/33 16/25 41/73
% 2nd pts 60% 48% 64% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 4 3 11
Converted 4/7 4/12 3/4 11/23
Converted % 57% 33% 75% 48%
Conceded 1 4 2 7
Saved 1/1 2/4 2/2 5
Saved % 100% 50% 100% 250%
Times Broken 0 2 0 2

Tennis Scores in Charleston

Upcoming matches in the draw