Orlando Luz and Daniel Merida Aguilar will face off in the qualifications of the Murcia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on PISTA 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Orlando Luz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Orlando Luz is the pick to win this match.
Orlando Luz -> 1.76
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.98
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Orlando Luz vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar
There is no head to head record between Orlando Luz and Daniel Merida Aguilar since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Orlando Luz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-21 | 0-1 | 34-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-28 | 0-2 | 40-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 496, Luz reached the qualifications after beating Lucas Gerch 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Gerch (6-3 6-2). During the match, Luz scored 71 points vs Gerch’s 52. Luz was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Luz scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Orlando Luz lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Luz put 63% of his first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Gerch 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Luz has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (263-163). 5-3 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Luz has an overall 252-144 match record in the last years on clay.
The Brazilian has a composed 5-3 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Luz has never competed in this tournament before.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-19 | 7-4 | 26-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-31 | 16-13 | 20-17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 8-9 | 21-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-14 | 1-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 515, Merida got to the qualifications after defeating Mathias Bourgue 6-1 4-6 2-5 ret..
In the qualifications against Bourgue, Daniel had a free pass after Bourgue retired on a 6-1 4-6 2-5 . scoreline.
Daniel has a compiled 7-7 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Murcia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Luz | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 24 |
| Pts | 71-52 | 83-86 |
| Total Points | 123 | 169 |
| Winners | 30 | 32 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Both Luz and Merida played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Daniel Merida Aguilar dropped 2 sets while Orlando Luz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Luz has played 2 set(s) less than Merida (2 vs 4). Therefore, Luz played 7 games less than Merida. Orlando scored 30 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard bagged 32 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Luz | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1 |
| 1st in | 39/62 | 52/78 |
| %1st in | 63% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 32/52 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 11/26 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 42% |
Luz recorded 1 ace . Merida also recorded 1 ace . Luz won 77% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Merida won 62% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Luz | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/12 |
| % Converted | 57% | 33% |
| Conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Saved | 4 | 10 |
| % Saved | 80% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Orlando broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Brazilian dropped his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Daniel broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Luz | |||
| Q1 Gerch |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 71-52 | 71-52 | |
| Total points | 123 | 123 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/62 | 39/62 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 30/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 10/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Merida | |||
| Q1 Bourgue |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 4-6 2-5 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 83-86 | 83-86 | |
| Total points | 169 | 169 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 52/78 | 52/78 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 32/52 | 32/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/26 | 11/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 10/14 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLWLLWL
LWWLWLWLWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Feliciano LopezLopez – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ji Sung NamSung Nam – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kyle EdmundEdmund – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – Marc PolmansPolmans (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ivan GakhovGakhov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Omar JasikaJasika – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Michael GeertsGeerts – Alexander RitschardRitschard (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alvaro Lopez San MartinLopez San Martin – Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Orlando LuzLuz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna GojoGojo – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Akira SantillanSantillan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
