Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea will fight against each other in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.21
Sorana Cirstea -> 4.45
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sorana Cirstea
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Sorana Cirstea since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-5 | 14-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Belarussian got to the quarter after defeating Shelby Rogers 6-4 6-3, Marie Bouzkova 6-1 6-2 and Barbora Krejcikova 6-3 6-2.
In the 4th round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (6-3 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 59 points vs Krejcikova’s 38. Aryna was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka struck 8 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka was exceptionally effective on serve to win 88% (29/33) of her 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sabalenka broke Krejcikova 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 62% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (283-142). 20-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an overall174-78 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.
Aryna has a composed 20-2 win-loss record in 2023, 20-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Sorana Cirstea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-9 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 11-10 | 11-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-10 | 14-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74, Sorana reached the quarter after beating Fernanda Contreras Gomez 7-66 6-2, Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-3, Karolina Muchova 7-5 6-1 and Marketa Vondrousova 7-63 6-4.
In the 4th round, Cirstea had a good straight sets win against Vondrousova (7-63 6-4). During the match Cirstea scored 69 points vs Vondrousova’s 63. Cirstea was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Cirstea scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 63% of her first serves in, winning 80% (35/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Cirstea broke Vondrousova twice after converting 67% of her break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cirstea hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Sorana has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2023, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2013. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 80 |
| Pts | 177-109 | 282-229 |
| Total Points | 286 | 511 |
| Winners | 79 | 121 |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% |
Sabalenka played 3 matches while Cirstea competed in 4 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Cirstea (6 vs 8). Therefore, Sabalenka played 29 games less than Cirstea. Sabalenka scored 79 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Cirstea managed to score 121 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 92/141 | 167/253 |
| %1st in | 65% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 79/92 | 121/167 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 28/49 | 47/86 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 55% |
Sabalenka fired 16 aces (5.3 per match). Cirstea managed to score 10 aces (2.5 per match). Sabalenka won 86% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 14 |
| Converted | 11/22 | 14/27 |
| % Converted | 50% | 52% |
| Conceded | 4 | 19 |
| Saved | 2 | 14 |
| % Saved | 50% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Aryna lost her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Romanian broke her opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Cirstea conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R2 Rogers |
R3 Bouzkova |
R4 Krejcikova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 | 17 | 51 | |
| pts | 60-40 | 58-31 | 59-38 | 177-109 | |
| Total points | 100 | 89 | 97 | 286 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | 29 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 43% | 49% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 29/50 | 30/44 | 33/47 | 92/141 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 68% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 25/30 | 29/33 | 79/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 83% | 88% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 9/14 | 8/14 | 28/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 64% | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/11 | 3/4 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 36% | 75% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 100% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Cirstea | ||||||
| R1 Contreras Gomez |
R2 Garcia |
R3 Muchova |
R4 Vondrousova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-1 | 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 17 | 19 | 23 | 80 | |
| pts | 82-68 | 63-50 | 68-48 | 69-63 | 282-229 | |
| Total points | 150 | 113 | 116 | 132 | 511 | |
| Winners | 31 | 29 | 26 | 35 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 46% | 38% | 51% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 42/70 | 42/60 | 39/53 | 44/70 | 167/253 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 70% | 74% | 63% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 29/42 | 26/39 | 35/44 | 121/167 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 69% | 67% | 80% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 9/18 | 9/14 | 13/26 | 47/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 50% | 64% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/8 | 5/8 | 2/3 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 63% | 67% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 7/8 | 2/4 | 4/5 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 88% | 50% | 80% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLWW
LLWWLLWWWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Edris FetisleamFetisleam (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pietro LicciardiLicciardi – Jan MertlMertl (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Laurynas GrigelisGrigelis – Vasile AntonescuAntonescu (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
