Carlos Alcaraz is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Miami. The Spaniard has defeated Facundo Bagnis 6-0 6-2 and Dusan Lajovic 6-0 7-65 to reach the 4th round where he will face Tommy Paul.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw andhisprojected opponents in Miami Open. Carlos has a favorable record (4-2) against the projected opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Facundo Bagnis (100) – 6-0 6-2
R3 – Dusan Lajovic (76) – 6-0 7-65
R4 – Tommy Paul (19) – H2H 0-1
1/4 – Holger Rune (8) – H2H 1-1
or Taylor Fritz (10) – H2H 0-0
1/2 – Andrey Rublev (7) – H2H 0-0
or Jannik Sinner (11) – H2H 4-2
Fin – Stefanos Tsitsipas (3) – H2H 3-0
or Daniil Medvedev (5) – H2H 1-1
Latest Updated
Draw

R4 – Tommy Paul’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Tommy Paul

46 - 29win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
8
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0
2019 45-16 22-7 12-4 5-1 6-4 0-0
2018 40-20 28-15 0-0 12-5 0-0 0-0
2017 48-24 27-12 18-8 3-4 0-0 0-0
2016 28-28 9-14 18-9 1-4 0-1 0-0

Tommy Paul has a 16-5 record in 2023, 15-5 on hard. During the previous 9 years, Paul has a 161-93 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 8 of his last 10 matches.

The American’s best achievement of the current season was getting to the final Acapulco.

Last year in Miami Open Tommy lost to Taylor Fritz in the 3rd round 7-6(2) 6-4.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul

This contest would be 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/4 – Holger Rune’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

44 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
4
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
2020 32-16 1-3 28-11 3-2 0-0 0-0
2019 6-10 0-3 5-6 1-1 0-0 0-0
2018 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0

Holger Rune has a 14-6 win-loss record in 2023, 9-4 on hard. In connection to the last 6 years, Holger has a 29-24 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Holger won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Rune’s most significant achievement of this season was reaching the semifinal Montpellier and Acapulco.

Last year in Miami Open Rune reached the qualifications in 2022 in Miami before retiring against Shintaro Mochizuki when he was 6-1 0-0 ret..

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Holger Rune

This would be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Carlos Alcaraz may come up against Taylor Fritz. Their H2H is 0-0.

1/2 – Andrey Rublev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

56 - 26win/loss in 2025

Rank
5
High
5
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 56-26 23-12 19-5 6-7 8-2 0-0
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0
2020 41-10 17-4 10-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 54-27 28-14 8-5 16-5 2-3 0-0
2018 21-24 10-12 2-3 9-9 0-0 0-0
2017 48-33 19-11 11-11 12-9 6-2 0-0
2016 38-33 6-7 12-14 19-10 1-2 0-0

Andrey Rublev has a 13-7 win-loss record in 2023, 13-6 on hard. In the course of the last 11 years, Rublev has a 155-80 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). The Russian won 8 of his last 10 matches.

Andrey’s best result of the current year was reaching the final Dubai.

Last year in Miami Open Rublev lost to Nick Kyrgios in the 2nd round 6-3 6-0.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Alternatively, Carlos Alcaraz could compete against Jannik Sinner. Their head to head is 4-2 for Carlos Alcaraz.

Final – Stefanos Tsitsipas’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

51 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
3
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 51-24 19-9 17-5 11-6 4-4 0-0
2022 61-24 18-8 17-4 18-9 8-3 0-0
2021 55-19 26-8 23-5 6-5 0-1 0-0
2020 29-14 11-6 11-3 7-5 0-0 0-0
2019 54-25 22-12 15-5 15-5 2-3 0-0
2018 56-30 19-13 15-6 16-8 6-3 0-0
2017 57-31 14-8 25-12 14-8 4-3 0-0
2016 49-18 16-7 30-6 1-3 0-0 2-2

Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 14-3 record in 2023, 11-2 on hard. During the previous 9 years, Tsitsipas has a 160-78 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Tsitsipas won 7 of his last 10 matches.

The Greek’s best achievement of the current season was getting to the final at the Australian Open .

Last year in Miami Open Tsitsipas surrendered to Carlos Alcaraz in the 4th round 7-5 6-3.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

This match would represent the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Stefanos Tsitsipas play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Carlos Alcaraz could face Daniil Medvedev. Their head to head is 1-1.