Holger Rune and Taylor Fritz will face off in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 12:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.64
Holger Rune -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Taylor Fritz
There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Taylor Fritz since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-11 | 9-5 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), the Dane got to the 4th round after beating Marton Fucsovics 6-3 7-5 and Diego Schwartzman 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Schwartzman (6-4 6-2). During the match, Rune scored 65 points vs Schwartzman’s 52. Rune was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune scored 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 60% of his first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Rune was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Schwartzman 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Holger hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (176-88). 9-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has an overall29-24 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Holger’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Montpellier and Acapulco.
The Dane has a compiled 14-6 win-loss record in 2023, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-8 | 13-5 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-23 | 23-10 | 15-7 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Fritz reached the 4th round after defeating Emilio Nava 6-4 6-1 and Denis Shapovalov 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Taylor had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (6-4 6-4). During the match Fritz scored 66 points vs Shapovalov’s 56. Taylor was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Fritz managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Taylor Fritz was quite effective on serve to win 82% (28/34) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Taylor broke Shapovalov twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Taylor hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he overcame Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(6) and in Delray Beach where he beat Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-0 5-7 6-2.
The American has a compiled 19-5 win-loss record in 2023, 17-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 37 |
| Pts | 130-104 | 124-90 |
| Total Points | 234 | 214 |
| Winners | 54 | 50 |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% |
Both Rune and Fritz played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rune and Fritz have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Rune played 2 games more than Fritz. The Dane scored 54 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Taylor fired 50 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 67/114 | 60/108 |
| %1st in | 59% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 54/67 | 50/60 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 28/47 | 29/48 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 60% |
Rune fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Fritz scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Rune won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Fritz won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/9 | 6/8 |
| % Converted | 78% | 75% |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 1 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Rune broke his opponents 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. Holger lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||
| R2 Fucsovics |
R3 Schwartzman |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 39 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 65-52 | 130-104 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | 234 | |
| Winners | 25 | 29 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/54 | 36/60 | 67/114 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 60% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 29/36 | 54/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/23 | 11/24 | 28/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 46% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/4 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 100% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fritz | ||||
| R2 Nava |
R3 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 37 | |
| pts | 58-34 | 66-56 | 124-90 | |
| Total points | 92 | 122 | 214 | |
| Winners | 22 | 28 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 26/48 | 34/60 | 60/108 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 57% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 22/26 | 28/34 | 50/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 82% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 15/26 | 29/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 58% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 2/3 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 67% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWLL
WLLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-65 7-60) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-3 7-67) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Casper RuudRuud (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Taro DanielDaniel (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex MolcanMolcan (w/o) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-0 7-65) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-6(5) 7-6(0)) – See score progression
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-3 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-6) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
